TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$339,788
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$347,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,788 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under49c100,044$49,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,021.681,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Over49c60,000$29,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,399.993844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Under51c39,236$20,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,010.241747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over50c21,749$10,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,818.787650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Over51c17,268$8,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,461.082245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over50c16,863$8,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,382.7520155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Under50c14,980$7,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,4905655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under50c14,449$7,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,224.537355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under49c7,693$3,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,805.4569848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,06079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1103…bb2fbacked Over50c5,888$2,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,944.212050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under32c4,115$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.911946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.7747856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8aa…81ecbacked Under48c3,700$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.991844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over49c3,593$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,832.655251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over49c3,500$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,78523742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over49c3,500$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,78543438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over49c3,500$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.9865939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c3,342$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.684,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Over72c2,654$1,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.6111639.7%46 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over79c2,547$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.0524159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under20c2,152$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.031,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0207132.4%23 W · 48 L-10.6wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-36.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5d64…26cebacked Over51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.781668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+53.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over68c1,900$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.68,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over49c1,482$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.1362051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over49c1,453$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.0386641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Over69c1,161$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.212572%18 W · 7 L+5.2wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+46.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c1,159$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.54,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under49c1,143$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56011242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under22c1,136$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over52c1,100$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52821247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under51c1,025$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.981,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33093148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29016050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5247…3a1dbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Under16c996.08$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.374738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.395160.8%31 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x59ce…d001backed Under51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c925$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.756,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8476…dc8dbacked Over50c852$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4262850%14 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3325945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Over53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3762356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+101.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x914a…920fbacked Under51c686.27$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502060%12 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+96.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa98f…ab1abacked Over50c613.12$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.56825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-59.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2418349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Over52c601.8$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.875143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda39…c640backed Over49c505.1$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.61546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Over49c502.86$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.466963.8%44 W · 25 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c490.48$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.91,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under49c450$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.9360049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under20c437.39$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.922,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Under49c434.63$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.9717247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over80c416.25$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2565872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over50c416.24$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.121,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec2d…896cbacked Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.167944.3%35 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20038432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19616251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Over73c349.48$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.489558.9%56 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Under50c316$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1585246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15368944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c299.81$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.965045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb92a…f51cbacked Over49c297.67$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.811172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over48c283.08$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.225651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0d…1512backed Under48c206.76$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fac…b89abacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.085550.9%28 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Over50c198$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9933748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Under31c196.15$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0825850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over52c188.96$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.732045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under20c179.64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0525045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d77…cf31backed Under9c178.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164719.1%9 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+66.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under51c175.23$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.371,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe284…4018backed Over51c170$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.31546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Under40c162.04$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.164738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7510348.5%50 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa462…4ffebacked Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Under22c125$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.524936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under22c125$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.580440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under22c125$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Over78c110.67$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.351471.4%10 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick75cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Over53c101$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4748957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8bd4…5aaebacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf3b…38dbbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506126.2%16 W · 45 L-12.9wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-51.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Under22c91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0217237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over49c89.81$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.81,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a11…0faebacked Over49c80.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.82966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over50c80.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4140548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dd…f376backed Under50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec0…33edbacked Under50c67.2$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bb…a831backed Under49c62.76$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.75966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ee0…d74abacked Under51c62.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322544%11 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under51c61.65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4415759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under30c56.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9825554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under23c55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.651,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over51c54.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.960346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under24c50.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2189048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.