Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Reilly Opelka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c9d2c619327ef18cf8eaac091c5be754c3950874e6d69667416cca27ef741f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Federico Cinaof Federico Cina, Reilly Opelka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $474,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $531,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $474,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Reilly Opelka | 31c | 30,659$9,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,438.94 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…4682backed Reilly Opelka | 11c | 17,121$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…05a8backed Reilly Opelka | 17c | 14,699$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.78 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Federico Cina | 66c | 10,401$6,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,541.41 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3c92backed Federico Cina | 44c | 9,000$3,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,021.85 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Federico Cina | 48c | 7,724$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,992.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Reilly Opelka | 11c | 7,110$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…3a0abacked Reilly Opelka | 20c | 6,700$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.38 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Federico Cina | 75c | 6,615$4,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.41 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Reilly Opelka | 30c | 6,427$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.04 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Federico Cina | 46c | 5,808$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,125.15 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Reilly Opelka | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Reilly Opelka | 46c | 5,273$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.04 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Federico Cina | 65c | 5,103$3,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.02 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Federico Cina | 79c | 5,010$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.28 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Reilly Opelka | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Federico Cina | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.99 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Federico Cina | 66c | 4,500$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Federico Cina | 66c | 3,820$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Reilly Opelka | 10c | 3,788$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.1 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Federico Cina | 68c | 3,551$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.64 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Reilly Opelka | 36c | 3,500$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.57 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Reilly Opelka | 8c | 3,190$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.05 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Reilly Opelka | 44c | 3,024$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.78 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Reilly Opelka | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Federico Cina | 67c | 2,956$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.58 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Reilly Opelka | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…7bdabacked Federico Cina | 54c | 2,587$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.55 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Federico Cina | 49c | 2,500$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.2 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Federico Cina | 40c | 2,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.98 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Federico Cina | 56c | 2,493$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.17 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Reilly Opelka | 35c | 2,388$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.88 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Reilly Opelka | 18c | 2,346$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.5 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Federico Cina | 69c | 2,196$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.18 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Reilly Opelka | 13c | 1,937$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.45 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Federico Cina | 49c | 1,612$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.87 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Federico Cina | 45c | 1,608$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.27 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Reilly Opelka | 24c | 1,519$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.25 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Federico Cina | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Federico Cina | 65c | 1,413$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.85 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Reilly Opelka | 14c | 1,400$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Federico Cina | 63c | 1,394$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.94 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Reilly Opelka | 33c | 1,378$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Reilly Opelka | 43c | 1,331$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.11 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Reilly Opelka | 37c | 1,327$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.99 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Reilly Opelka | 17c | 1,319$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 160 | 55%88 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Reilly Opelka | 36c | 1,309$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.24 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…79f3backed Federico Cina | 47c | 1,213$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.92 | 212 | 57.5%122 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Reilly Opelka | 55c | 1,209$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.1 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Federico Cina | 79c | 1,143$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.65 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Reilly Opelka | 36c | 1,100$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Federico Cina | 45c | 1,095$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.4 | 112 | 15.2%17 W · 95 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…7c92backed Reilly Opelka | 37c | 1,090$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Federico Cina | 45c | 1,086$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.99 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Federico Cina | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Reilly Opelka | 36c | 1,038$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.65 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…0004backed Reilly Opelka | 54c | 1,033$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.88 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Federico Cina | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Reilly Opelka | 55c | 999.99$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.15 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Federico Cina | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Reilly Opelka | 33c | 999.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Federico Cina | 62c | 894.19$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.79 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed Reilly Opelka | 35c | 787$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Federico Cina | 51c | 783$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.67 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b0…072ebacked Federico Cina | 45c | 777.78$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.78 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Federico Cina | 65c | 770.69$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.69 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…a4c4backed Federico Cina | 66c | 754.82$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.82 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Federico Cina | 65c | 753.22$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.63 | 285 | 62.8%179 W · 106 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Federico Cina | 66c | 750$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.5 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Federico Cina | 64c | 668.14$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.53 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Reilly Opelka | 36c | 666.67$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Reilly Opelka | 27c | 643.79$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.13 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Reilly Opelka | 25c | 602.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.63 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Federico Cina | 79c | 602.12$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.49 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Reilly Opelka | 35c | 597.03$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.96 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…833ebacked Reilly Opelka | 49c | 565.89$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.42 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Reilly Opelka | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Reilly Opelka | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Reilly Opelka | 45c | 544.44$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Reilly Opelka | 38c | 522.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Reilly Opelka | 19c | 514.16$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6e…542dbacked Federico Cina | 62c | 509.45$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.45 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e0…ecc4backed Reilly Opelka | 39c | 505.54$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.16 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Reilly Opelka | 17c | 486.23$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Federico Cina | 58c | 480$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Reilly Opelka | 47c | 474.94$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.24 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Federico Cina | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 309 | 48.9%151 W · 158 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…f3fdbacked Federico Cina | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 277 | 62.8%174 W · 103 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Federico Cina | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Reilly Opelka | 62c | 433.58$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.82 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Reilly Opelka | 29c | 431.88$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.59 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Reilly Opelka | 33c | 431.72$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.51 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Reilly Opelka | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Reilly Opelka | 21c | 409.76$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Federico Cina | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Reilly Opelka | 15c | 392.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Reilly Opelka | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…f5bdbacked Reilly Opelka | 55c | 381.16$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.59 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…78aebacked Federico Cina | 46c | 380.28$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.28 | 159 | 28.9%46 W · 113 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Reilly Opelka | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Reilly Opelkathis page
- Cina vs. Opelka: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Cina vs OpelkaOpelka won
- Set Handicap: Cina (-1.5) vs Opelka (+1.5)Opelka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.