TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Connecticut Sunof Connecticut Sun, Seattle Storm
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$240,311
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$253,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,311 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf00c…f4febacked Seattle Storm47c20,768$9,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,848.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Seattle Storm43c17,333$7,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,484.026851.5%35 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Seattle Storm47c15,964$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5002339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Connecticut Sun59c12,487$7,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,175.199548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Connecticut Sun50c11,171$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,570.6927449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun51c8,285$4,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,018.641,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Connecticut Sun54c7,269$3,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,334.838228%23 W · 59 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Connecticut Sun58c6,250$3,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,630.5420947.4%99 W · 110 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Connecticut Sun56c5,500$3,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,408.262673.1%19 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Seattle Storm54c4,588$2,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,484.0436154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Connecticut Sun48c4,461$2,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300.2912045%54 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Connecticut Sun59c4,207$2,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Seattle Storm56c4,060$2,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,273.5123049.6%114 W · 116 L-13.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm42c4,053$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,684.641,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Seattle Storm57c3,741$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,146.561010%1 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick33cpaid-80.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Connecticut Sun55c3,074$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.46735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Seattle Storm45c2,957$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.821560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+50.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Connecticut Sun76c2,628$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.765466.7%36 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Seattle Storm37c2,540$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94436454.1%197 W · 167 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Connecticut Sun51c2,530$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.285158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Storm35c2,528$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.0550646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Connecticut Sun45c2,501$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.324623.9%11 W · 35 L-7.7wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-48.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Seattle Storm37c2,349$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.4331043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Storm40c2,243$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.926247.7%125 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Seattle Storm49c2,059$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003933.3%13 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Connecticut Sun64c2,020$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.416152.2%84 W · 77 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Connecticut Sun62c1,913$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.410552.4%55 W · 50 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaba5…4e0ebacked Seattle Storm46c1,742$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Seattle Storm38c1,515$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.1410858.3%63 W · 45 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Connecticut Sun46c1,467$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.3410249%50 W · 52 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Seattle Storm46c1,403$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.351533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0828…a1a6backed Connecticut Sun57c1,386$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.661573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81b0…ad6dbacked Seattle Storm42c1,370$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.6650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Connecticut Sun52c1,321$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.0319458.2%113 W · 81 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Connecticut Sun60c1,259$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.44520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Connecticut Sun63c1,212$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.432382.6%19 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Connecticut Sun46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6481770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+45.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0246…98ecbacked Seattle Storm1c1,100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Seattle Storm55c1,041$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.72425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Seattle Storm52c1,022$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.782839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Connecticut Sun59c961.85$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.346749.3%33 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe505…3068backed Connecticut Sun56c895.41$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Connecticut Sun53c892.66$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.35250%26 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x914a…920fbacked Seattle Storm40c858.56$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked Seattle Storm41c855.46$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.71241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Connecticut Sun59c851.42$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.482857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Connecticut Sun63c843$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.478051.3%41 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe756…e006backed Seattle Storm48c840$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.240%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Seattle Storm36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Seattle Storm56c803.55$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.995044%22 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Seattle Storm45c721.12$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.1623955.2%132 W · 107 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Seattle Storm56c714.27$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.994652.2%24 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Seattle Storm55c709.09$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3902245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Connecticut Sun68c700$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.851752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked Connecticut Sun53c699.99$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Connecticut Sun35c696.03$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.6536750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Seattle Storm44c683.85$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.6324852.4%130 W · 118 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Seattle Storm46c651.46$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.716633.1%55 W · 111 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Seattle Storm40c626.3$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Connecticut Sun65c600$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.7113844.9%62 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0167…d002backed Connecticut Sun44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3363053.3%16 W · 14 L+6.4wins+0.21per pick32cpaid+68.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Seattle Storm46c552.73$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9919031.1%59 W · 131 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Connecticut Sun62c547.75$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.151637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d57…18ddbacked Connecticut Sun49c510.64$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.11163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b16…7983backed Seattle Storm38c503.99$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.41450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Seattle Storm53c499.99$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26510548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Connecticut Sun55c470.51$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.6914942.3%63 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Seattle Storm44c467.63$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.7434753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Connecticut Sun65c450.77$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.77580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+107.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Connecticut Sun59c443.89$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.431190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.27per pick64cpaid+42.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Connecticut Sun51c429$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe641…0f63backed Connecticut Sun45c428.04$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Seattle Storm40c427.41$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.9710144.6%45 W · 56 L-13.5wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf18c…0350backed Seattle Storm40c423.37$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.51825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Connecticut Sun44c419.99$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.25141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Connecticut Sun58c400.69$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.9213358.6%78 W · 55 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Connecticut Sun24c400$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3042630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Seattle Storm46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1841942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Connecticut Sun58c399.99$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.93966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Connecticut Sun64c398$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1955255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Connecticut Sun65c394.41$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.317041.4%29 W · 41 L-11.1wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-29.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Connecticut Sun55c390.3$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.6561042.5%259 W · 351 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Connecticut Sun47c379.99$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.392857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Seattle Storm40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Seattle Storm53c332.38$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17640%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc908…2f61backed Seattle Storm63c322.01$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.161050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Seattle Storm36c320$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.24027.5%11 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Seattle Storm35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Seattle Storm45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Connecticut Sun46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Seattle Storm36c295$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8525246%116 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x803a…1856backed Connecticut Sun72c282.53$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.491250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd6e…0edfbacked Seattle Storm45c278.46$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.16862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Connecticut Sun65c276.07$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.685949.2%29 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Seattle Storm32c270.7$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.551030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+44%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Connecticut Sun62c270.6$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.61241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Seattle Storm43c267.25$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11612745.7%58 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb28…02bbbacked Seattle Storm54c266.67$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.67425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3044…834bbacked Seattle Storm38c261.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+99.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78bc…5616backed Connecticut Sun56c258.42$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.822040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.