WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Seattle Storm (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba77cdd4934149b891c8ea8c12763a18e6f75f9e6195abc07e62b5894debf783
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Sunof Seattle Storm, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 19,066$9,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,955.22 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Connecticut Sun | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 4,377$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.32 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 2,450$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.35 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 1,213$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.25 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 1,002$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.99 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Connecticut Sun | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 830$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.9 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 679.17$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.56 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Connecticut Sun | 53c | 628.09$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.98 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9333…4100backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 462.11$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.9 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Connecticut Sun | 67c | 447.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.96 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 367$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 362$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Connecticut Sun | 64c | 174.06$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seattle Storm | 43c | 133.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 122.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 104.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 102.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Connecticut Sun | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm | 39c | 97.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Seattle Storm | 43c | 96.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Seattle Storm | 43c | 96.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…7b74backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 92.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 86.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 66.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 63.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Connecticut Sun | 66c | 58.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Connecticut Sun | 65c | 58.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Connecticut Sun | 67c | 56.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 50.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Connecticut Sun | 49c | 49.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 48.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…ce0fbacked Connecticut Sun | 49c | 40.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Seattle Storm | 52c | 38.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 35.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 34.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Connecticut Sun | 54c | 31.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 28.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Connecticut Sun | 50c | 28.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Connecticut Sun | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Connecticut Sun | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x123e…eed4backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…3107backed Connecticut Sun | 66c | 21.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Connecticut Sun | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…d93dbacked Connecticut Sun | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Connecticut Sun | 65c | 19.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Connecticut Sun | 67c | 16.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-1.5)this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle StormConnecticut Sun won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 165.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 166.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 167.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-2.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-3.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.