WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5093e2984a141dffb096a0be7e4ce9559437ec7e5fdef660a9a2ac1b6d5dae79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 40c | 30,000$11,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,002.21 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 65c | 16,255$10,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,565.62 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 1c | 10,363$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.01 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 52c | 8,500$4,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,043.33 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 51c | 7,691$3,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,768.4 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 6,634$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170.17 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 5,236$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920.62 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 4,296$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.89 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 49c | 4,285$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.65 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 3,179$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.09 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 1,816$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.08 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…e8abbacked Over | 49c | 1,700$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 57c | 1,208$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.73 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 52c | 480$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 448.98$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 49c | 428.57$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 405.64$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.31 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 49c | 397.96$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 381.29$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.12 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 52c | 306.39$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.43 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Over | 48c | 287.92$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.2 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 58c | 258$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 60c | 179.39$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 50c | 156.59$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.29 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 50c | 140.52$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…c1e3backed Over | 51c | 139$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 56c | 134.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Over | 24c | 118.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 56c | 109.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked Over | 49c | 79.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 49c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 52c | 61.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…faedbacked Under | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Over | 55c | 53.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over | 73c | 52.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…6b86backed Under | 52c | 51.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…789abacked Over | 47c | 50.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 53c | 47.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 53c | 47.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…360ebacked Over | 50c | 46.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 48c | 44.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 65c | 40.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 51c | 37.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 59c | 36.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 54c | 36.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Under | 52c | 34.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed Over | 56c | 32.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…4976backed Under | 52c | 32.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 49c | 32.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…fe3fbacked Under | 80c | 30.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 48c | 24.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 69c | 23.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 63c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 48c | 21.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed Under | 53c | 19.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle StormConnecticut Sun won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 165.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 166.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 167.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-1.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-2.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-3.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.