WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 165.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4c64c093c0892f63e7c30de1aaf18c0f8a4b57ba15c833f5b2d181b1a828e18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 1,799$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.1 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under | 55c | 1,771$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.07 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 1,014$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.57 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 27c | 917.59$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.78 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 44c | 727.68$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.11 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 48c | 712.59$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.98 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 46c | 421.44$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.51 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 19c | 323.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 50c | 305.27$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.81 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Over | 55c | 286.82$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 196.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…7ab8backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 35c | 179.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 59c | 177.17$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 29c | 166.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 41c | 126.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.47 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed Over | 59c | 117.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed Over | 43c | 115.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Over | 53c | 92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 35c | 90.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 54c | 88.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 31c | 85.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 47c | 84.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 37c | 67.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 57c | 67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 37c | 66.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…4976backed Over | 50c | 61.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 41c | 59.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 52c | 37.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 41c | 35.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…e223backed Over | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…fe3fbacked Under | 49c | 30.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…6e69backed Under | 41c | 29.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…2b16backed Under | 41c | 29.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…8107backed Under | 41c | 29.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…2cabbacked Under | 55c | 29.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb0…c9f8backed Under | 41c | 28.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 59c | 24.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…78a2backed Under | 55c | 22.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 51c | 20.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…e307backed Over | 56c | 19.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 72c | 19.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 55c | 18.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 165.5this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle StormConnecticut Sun won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 166.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 167.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-1.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-2.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-3.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.