WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Seattle Storm (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff73e0eab951fddbe5e878af66bb79510350f05c7b43d7827b14cb8f1908213b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Sunof Seattle Storm, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Connecticut Sun | 55c | 999.97$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.98 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm | 35c | 640.6$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.1 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 556.14$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.9 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Seattle Storm | 37c | 545$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.29 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Seattle Storm | 45c | 492.41$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.58 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Connecticut Sun | 71c | 424.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.65 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 283.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.32 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Connecticut Sun | 52c | 264.76$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.08 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Connecticut Sun | 60c | 230$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Connecticut Sun | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Connecticut Sun | 54c | 182.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.11 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +11.1wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Connecticut Sun | 69c | 153.25$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Seattle Storm | 43c | 138.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 134.31$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Connecticut Sun | 67c | 114$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 82.49$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Seattle Storm | 45c | 72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Seattle Storm | 31c | 66.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Seattle Storm | 38c | 52.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Seattle Storm | 30c | 50.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Connecticut Sun | 69c | 40.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed Connecticut Sun | 55c | 36.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Connecticut Sun | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…3107backed Connecticut Sun | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Seattle Storm | 45c | 28.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 26.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 24.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 21.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Connecticut Sun | 71c | 21.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-2.5)this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle StormConnecticut Sun won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 165.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 166.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 167.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-1.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-3.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.