WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c2c76cc1656dd652633bbd1b45e8de25e3fed52372c1456cd2bf7e0d53435a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 3,407$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.76 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 2,460$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.31 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 48c | 854.67$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.43 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 48c | 854.67$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.43 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 48c | 854.5$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.34 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under | 57c | 778.99$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.87 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 671.97$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.6 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 628.17$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.91 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 49c | 411.33$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.24 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 49c | 284.04$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 49c | 254.66$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.82 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Under | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Over | 47c | 154.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 56c | 137.64$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 57c | 111.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 50c | 104.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 57c | 103.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 54c | 98.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 53c | 92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Under | 47c | 92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 55c | 63.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Over | 70c | 53.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 46c | 51.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 50c | 50.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 48.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 21c | 48.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Under | 58c | 46.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 47c | 40.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 44c | 38.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…2cabbacked Under | 65c | 38.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 55c | 35.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…fe3fbacked Under | 54c | 30.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 66c | 27.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 52c | 24.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…4976backed Over | 53c | 24.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Under | 45c | 22.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 166.5this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle StormConnecticut Sun won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 165.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 167.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-1.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-2.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-3.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.