WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94def0798b01645f39ca6ceb275c2f59867550e6f6842a94851adccf7d0ad65b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Dreamof Atlanta Dream, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Connecticut Sun | 56c | 2,714$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.71 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 2,013$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.25 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…bb1abacked Connecticut Sun | 59c | 1,683$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac1…3176backed Atlanta Dream | 44c | 1,437$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Atlanta Dream | 44c | 831.82$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.82 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Atlanta Dream | 44c | 817.43$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.76 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Atlanta Dream | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Atlanta Dream | 26c | 382.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.14 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Atlanta Dream | 44c | 308.77$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 306.73$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.68 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun | 52c | 246.47$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.32 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Dream | 27c | 239$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.51 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Connecticut Sun | 74c | 175$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Connecticut Sun | 76c | 132.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.14 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Connecticut Sun | 50c | 103.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Connecticut Sun | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Atlanta Dream | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Atlanta Dream | 33c | 91.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Atlanta Dream | 44c | 89.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Sun | 71c | 87.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Connecticut Sun | 49c | 71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Atlanta Dream | 43c | 64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Atlanta Dream | 47c | 47.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 46.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Connecticut Sun | 51c | 39.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Connecticut Sun | 69c | 36.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Atlanta Dream | 43c | 33.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…891bbacked Atlanta Dream | 44c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Atlanta Dream | 44c | 26.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Connecticut Sun | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 22.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-15.5)this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 157.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 158.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 159.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 160.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 161.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-13.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-14.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.