WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcac459bde065a7aa32a3011142a32b37ebdfbe669a793a982021deb5f67db127
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Dreamof Atlanta Dream, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 9,682$5,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,131.25 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 8,822$4,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,295.61 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 8,667$4,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,561.83 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 4,545$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.6 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 234 | 67.5%158 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 1,827$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 1,533$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Connecticut Sun | 54c | 1,209$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.74 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Dream | 49c | 716.94$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.49 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 649.96$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.98 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Connecticut Sun | 55c | 558.43$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.14 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 523.2$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.87 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Atlanta Dream | 45c | 294.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Connecticut Sun | 54c | 260$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.9 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Connecticut Sun | 54c | 217.39$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.39 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…da7bbacked Atlanta Dream | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 217.15$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc594…773fbacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 189.22$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Dream | 28c | 189$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.97 | 214 | 47.7%102 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 187.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 170$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae40…9edabacked Connecticut Sun | 54c | 167.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.66 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 146.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Atlanta Dream | 35c | 143$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Connecticut Sun | 55c | 117.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Connecticut Sun | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Connecticut Sun | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 276 | 49.6%137 W · 139 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…6da4backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 99.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 83.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Atlanta Dream | 48c | 75.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Atlanta Dream | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Connecticut Sun | 46c | 57.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Connecticut Sun | 54c | 47.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Connecticut Sun | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 32.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e4…c62abacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 30.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…8124backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 26.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Connecticut Sun | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 23.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +46%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Atlanta Dream | 48c | 22.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 19.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-14.5)this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 157.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 158.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 159.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 160.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 161.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-13.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-15.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.