WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 160.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86b7459a050742c81d1976d2c5f51118f447419d4c151ac4112f89440c3aac89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Under | 49c | 4,249$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 4,213$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.76 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 51c | 2,123$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.73 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 50c | 2,010$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.78 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 51c | 1,884$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.92 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under | 51c | 1,199$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.29 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…5e15backed Over | 51c | 1,169$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 1,139$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.5 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 19c | 793.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 51c | 691.57$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 57c | 683.36$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.63 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 593.1$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.55 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Under | 3c | 528.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 380.5$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.25 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…a053backed Over | 72c | 366.29$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 47c | 292.23$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.88 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 286.88$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.05 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 40c | 244.68$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 63c | 219.3$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…da7bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…fe54backed Under | 51c | 190.87$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 42c | 170$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Under | 51c | 142.87$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 50c | 125.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 24c | 111$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 75c | 109.52$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 50c | 96.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 43c | 79.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 47c | 72.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 50c | 69.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 50c | 67.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 40c | 58.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 66c | 47.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…543dbacked Over | 55c | 36.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Over | 50c | 35.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 76c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Over | 61c | 32.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 49c | 25.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 50c | 23.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 50c | 22.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 160.5this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 157.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 158.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 159.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 161.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-13.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-14.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-15.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.