Fifa International · resolved market
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f6f55183287fc4fc6bdb15a1a93274f06943807ba202b8f4e1b8fd71e8230f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 3,618$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.17 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d90…7e0abacked Over | 23c | 2,519$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.69 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 5c | 1,070$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed Over | 14c | 719.94$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 12c | 687.19$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.42 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 78c | 685.9$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.66 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565f…cb2dbacked Over | 21c | 561.9$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 22c | 528.68$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.94 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 76c | 495.35$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.75 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over | 58c | 450$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 58c | 449.98$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.99 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 31c | 449.73$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.19 | 198 | 38.4%76 W · 122 L | -18.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 78c | 406.08$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.34 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 22c | 354.55$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over | 27c | 338.89$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 78c | 319.84$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 22c | 309$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…8a59backed Over | 21c | 299.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 61c | 297$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.5 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 61c | 296.62$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.47 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 77c | 296.09$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 22c | 269$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 77c | 250.54$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe656…2323backed Over | 22c | 246.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Over | 21c | 233.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f49…e67bbacked Over | 21c | 232.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 10c | 222.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 79c | 222.04$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Over | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 42.2%117 W · 160 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Over | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Over | 27c | 177$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 17c | 152.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 22c | 133.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 14c | 121.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 77c | 101.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Over | 19c | 97.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f8…a9efbacked Over | 21c | 93.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 22.8%26 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ca…f324backed Under | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bd…c685backed Over | 24c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Under | 80c | 47.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e8…f050backed Over | 25c | 43.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +235.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 77c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 45c | 22.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 78c | 22.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…891bbacked Under | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.