Fifa International · resolved market
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd978622bd3ec5fb221df779dc3493b2bfd164afa9179e8c95d80fbd6b79ffe2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf44…71a4backed Over | 21c | 9,452$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.53 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.99 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 77c | 4,357$3,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.52 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Under | 78c | 2,971$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.03 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 5c | 2,944$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 23c | 2,483$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.66 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 5c | 2,184$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 77c | 2,181$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.26 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 12c | 1,158$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.77 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 77c | 999.96$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 18c | 940.55$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.44 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…5187backed Over | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Over | 23c | 866.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 23c | 748.3$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.16 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 19c | 640.05$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.46 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 77c | 558.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 76c | 538.34$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a7…b778backed Over | 7c | 510$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 5c | 479.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 23c | 478.26$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de6…d677backed Over | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1c…bd78backed Over | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 23c | 433.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Under | 79c | 408$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.58 | 303 | 44.2%134 W · 169 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 78c | 359.89$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 77c | 324$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 5c | 291.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 76c | 278.1$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Over | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 269 | 21.6%58 W · 211 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Over | 22c | 196.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 24c | 191.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Over | 23c | 169.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Over | 23c | 162.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 7c | 141$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda89…0ed5backed Over | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…132fbacked Over | 23c | 126.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 221 | 35.3%78 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 14c | 124.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fed…eff0backed Over | 22c | 110.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…1558backed Over | 24c | 99.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff5…dd85backed Over | 23c | 86.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Over | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…65efbacked Under | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Over | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 241 | 32.8%79 W · 162 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1312…e932backed Over | 27c | 53.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…0e06backed Over | 23c | 53.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 21c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe2…768dbacked Over | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 78c | 33.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 165 | 56.4%93 W · 72 L | -17.5wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…7fc0backed Under | 76c | 25.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d6cabacked Under | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 230 | 62.6%144 W · 86 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Under | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5this page
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.