Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cf5024d17acaa95cda0c429df069f56359dee1b301244637253f1961d4bbe58

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Ecuadorof Côte d'Ivoire, Ecuador
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $171,129
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $189,231

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,129 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6149…b48cbacked Côte d'Ivoire	11c	9,318$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Côte d'Ivoire	7c	8,925$656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$656.46	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Côte d'Ivoire	10c	7,080$708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$708	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Côte d'Ivoire	10c	6,829$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.7	462	23.2%107 W · 355 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Côte d'Ivoire	6c	6,223$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.82	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Côte d'Ivoire	8c	4,496$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.56	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Côte d'Ivoire	10c	3,657$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.7	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Côte d'Ivoire	7c	2,823$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.59	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Côte d'Ivoire	9c	2,763$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.79	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Côte d'Ivoire	10c	2,500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Côte d'Ivoire	10c	2,101$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.07	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8026…4005backed Côte d'Ivoire	5c	1,941$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.06	98	19.4%19 W · 79 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed Côte d'Ivoire	10c	1,500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	173	9.2%16 W · 157 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Côte d'Ivoire	4c	1,450$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.95	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Côte d'Ivoire	10c	1,152$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.16	111	47.7%53 W · 58 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Côte d'Ivoire	9c	1,034$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.06	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Côte d'Ivoire	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	280	25%70 W · 210 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e7…31f3backed Côte d'Ivoire	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Côte d'Ivoire	10c	960$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	144	28.5%41 W · 103 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Côte d'Ivoire	5c	771.65$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.24	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e90…4782backed Côte d'Ivoire	10c	750$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+61.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Côte d'Ivoire	10c	666.22$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.62	245	33.9%83 W · 162 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Côte d'Ivoire	10c	642.99$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.3	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Côte d'Ivoire	7c	523.36$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.31	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Côte d'Ivoire	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	549	17.9%98 W · 451 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Côte d'Ivoire	9c	499.98$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	144	40.3%58 W · 86 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Côte d'Ivoire	6c	498.16$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.58	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Côte d'Ivoire	10c	486.36$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	306	7.8%24 W · 282 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Côte d'Ivoire	10c	463.57$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.28	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Côte d'Ivoire	11c	446.31$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.91	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d91…f6dabacked Côte d'Ivoire	10c	350$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	136	33.1%45 W · 91 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Côte d'Ivoire	6c	301.33$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.37	575	41.7%240 W · 335 L	-20.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Côte d'Ivoire	5c	272.8$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.52	138	30.4%42 W · 96 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Côte d'Ivoire	5c	251.61$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.45	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9b5b…4a17backed Côte d'Ivoire	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	231	24.7%57 W · 174 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3944…6470backed Côte d'Ivoire	10c	247.4$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.74	40	30%12 W · 28 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e5…cebbbacked Côte d'Ivoire	10c	229.3$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.93	114	58.8%67 W · 47 L	+11.1wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+67.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7eaf…34d1backed Côte d'Ivoire	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-32%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Côte d'Ivoire	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	124	37.1%46 W · 78 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Côte d'Ivoire	11c	200$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	164	18.9%31 W · 133 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7272backed Côte d'Ivoire	10c	198$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	215	57.7%124 W · 91 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Côte d'Ivoire	10c	190$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	365	34.2%125 W · 240 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e47…b3d0backed Côte d'Ivoire	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	208	19.7%41 W · 167 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e7c…596cbacked Côte d'Ivoire	12c	173.84$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.57	209	32.5%68 W · 141 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc18…d048backed Côte d'Ivoire	12c	168.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	46	32.6%15 W · 31 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfe4…dac9backed Côte d'Ivoire	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Côte d'Ivoire	10c	140$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	291	38.5%112 W · 179 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd2…b879backed Côte d'Ivoire	10c	120$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Côte d'Ivoire	9c	110.72$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.16	631	51.5%325 W · 306 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x280e…b409backed Côte d'Ivoire	10c	110$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	128	18%23 W · 105 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Côte d'Ivoire	11c	103$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.33	390	39%152 W · 238 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Côte d'Ivoire	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	189	47.6%90 W · 99 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bf8…8986backed Côte d'Ivoire	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	188	50%94 W · 94 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Côte d'Ivoire	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	373	23.1%86 W · 287 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe0…8e55backed Côte d'Ivoire	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb261…6f3ebacked Côte d'Ivoire	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Côte d'Ivoire	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	172	27.3%47 W · 125 L	-9.1wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69b9…a180backed Côte d'Ivoire	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x137f…ad22backed Côte d'Ivoire	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x095e…5062backed Côte d'Ivoire	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	88	33%29 W · 59 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)this page
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5Over won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 2.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5Over won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Côte d'Ivoire won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event