Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4ab764e8ee19dcfdad13dd0d1c0258c85540f33fb144822100f8784e7cf1017

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $56,988
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $56,722

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,988 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x14b9…f378backed Over	32c	22,073$7,063 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,063.36	69	29%20 W · 49 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	71c	21,074$14,985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,089.41	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	32c	8,384$2,668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,667.9	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	68c	7,956$5,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,545.85	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	70c	4,998$3,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,499.37	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Over	14c	3,398$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.69	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-5.4wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over	35c	2,859$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	156	50%78 W · 78 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+17%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over	30c	2,559$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.66	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	69c	1,587$1,095 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.38	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	68c	1,390$948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$442.74	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	30c	1,062$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.44	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under	70c	975.25$683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.58	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	70c	667.49$467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.18	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over	30c	600$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	223	55.6%124 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	20c	600$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	60c	507.1$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.84	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Under	70c	500$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	192	51.6%99 W · 93 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	71c	413.86$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.09	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	68c	367$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.44	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	68c	367$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.44	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed Over	30c	366.67$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	138	37.7%52 W · 86 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	61c	350$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.5	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	69c	334$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.94	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de6…d677backed Over	26c	333$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.58	78	32.1%25 W · 53 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	27c	259.59$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.23	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	70c	249.99$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.25	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under	69c	214$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.34	200	53%106 W · 94 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	34c	210.93$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.61	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	69c	207.88$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.32	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6dc…925ebacked Under	73c	205.82$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.82	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	70c	197.55$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.5	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Over	31c	186.93$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over	30c	166.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	107	34.6%37 W · 70 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0754…4955backed Over	32c	149.25$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.76	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-3.5wins	-0.12per pick	33cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	31c	132$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.92	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	80c	112.99$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.61	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	465	25.4%118 W · 347 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	22c	95.6$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.03	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda89…0ed5backed Over	32c	94.44$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under	73c	68.84$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.84	429	52%223 W · 206 L	-16.5wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Over	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	150	46.7%70 W · 80 L	+10.4wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8375…1017backed Over	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-4.8wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x080f…a6debacked Over	30c	63.33$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under	74c	60.37$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.77	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…d1ecbacked Over	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+19%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	28c	59.98$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under	68c	56.47$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.07	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	70c	49.99$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.75	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under	71c	48.21$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.98	475	46.1%219 W · 256 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over	32c	46.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…b092backed Under	69c	36.22$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.23	8	100%8 W · 0 L	+3.2wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+77.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7bf8…8986backed Over	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	188	50%94 W · 94 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	667	45%300 W · 367 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x807a…3be2backed Over	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+2.6wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under	70c	28.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.57	1,151	58.5%673 W · 478 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7db…d69cbacked Under	72c	27.44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.68	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d2…e9c3backed Under	72c	20.83$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.83	147	68.7%101 W · 46 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 1.5this page
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5Over won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 2.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5Over won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Côte d'Ivoire won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event