Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x085332f0465e0a80f66ce3f122ff6723866535efa295705b7bfea9ccd2ef6353

Rebuilt 25 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Côte d'Ivoireof Ecuador, Côte d'Ivoire
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $311,737
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $324,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,737 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9eaf…a3a1backed Ecuador	17c	63,416$10,683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,683.03	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-4.7wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-35%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Ecuador	10c	48,204$4,969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,969.14	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Ecuador	15c	40,000$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,999.94	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Ecuador	16c	27,744$4,572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,571.82	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Ecuador	17c	9,126$1,538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,537.78	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Ecuador	16c	7,187$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,149.89	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Ecuador	15c	5,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.93	222	29.7%66 W · 156 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ecuador	11c	3,829$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.76	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Ecuador	17c	2,941$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8de…3111backed Ecuador	9c	2,222$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	95	15.8%15 W · 80 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Ecuador	15c	2,222$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.3	143	48.3%69 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Ecuador	15c	2,165$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.81	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76cc…fbbcbacked Ecuador	18c	2,108$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.53	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Ecuador	14c	1,931$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.64	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Ecuador	16c	1,876$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.23	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed Ecuador	15c	1,585$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.7	173	9.2%16 W · 157 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Ecuador	10c	1,490$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.69	280	25%70 W · 210 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Ecuador	16c	1,200$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc3…68e5backed Ecuador	16c	1,188$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	57	21.1%12 W · 45 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Ecuador	17c	1,176$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	363	49.3%179 W · 184 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Ecuador	17c	1,176$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	147	34%50 W · 97 L	+4.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df2…f9e3backed Ecuador	17c	1,176$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Ecuador	10c	1,173$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.94	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Ecuador	13c	1,076$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.5	115	20%23 W · 92 L	-8.8wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Ecuador	17c	999.94$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.99	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Ecuador	17c	958.33$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	756	30.4%230 W · 526 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ecuador	15c	881.92$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.39	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Ecuador	16c	847.59$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.6	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Ecuador	16c	748.09$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.14	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed Ecuador	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.12per pick	31cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe71a…cdc1backed Ecuador	4c	625$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	128	28.9%37 W · 91 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Ecuador	5c	620.91$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.05	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Ecuador	5c	619.97$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.8	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cee…f7a7backed Ecuador	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68c1…caf8backed Ecuador	16c	570.13$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.22	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Ecuador	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd252…775bbacked Ecuador	18c	542.17$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.59	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ecuador	9c	494.53$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.95	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Ecuador	16c	479.94$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.79	823	48.8%402 W · 421 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Ecuador	17c	434.89$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.83	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed Ecuador	18c	431.17$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.61	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Ecuador	13c	414.24$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.14	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Ecuador	14c	349.94$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.49	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bb6…7319backed Ecuador	12c	340.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4833…74bfbacked Ecuador	12c	337.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.48	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd948…f579backed Ecuador	15c	300$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	+5.0wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Ecuador	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	267	16.1%43 W · 224 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ff…f2bebacked Ecuador	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	239	29.7%71 W · 168 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b54…d382backed Ecuador	16c	275.06$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.01	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62f8…f64fbacked Ecuador	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	184	52.2%96 W · 88 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Ecuador	15c	243.44$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.52	732	34.6%253 W · 479 L	-22.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbed…3b22backed Ecuador	16c	240.59$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.1	106	34.9%37 W · 69 L	-16.7wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-33%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Ecuador	17c	234.97$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	306	7.8%24 W · 282 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e5…d1f0backed Ecuador	18c	222.22$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	70	57.1%40 W · 30 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Ecuador	17c	217.65$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	132	42.4%56 W · 76 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b24…4247backed Ecuador	17c	205.88$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	219	43.8%96 W · 123 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Ecuador	15c	202.59$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.4	420	48.8%205 W · 215 L	+18.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed Ecuador	15c	202.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	179	33.5%60 W · 119 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Ecuador	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	724	24.7%179 W · 545 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Ecuador	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	189	26.5%50 W · 139 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eaf…34d1backed Ecuador	17c	199.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-32%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c45…8652backed Ecuador	17c	199.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.14per pick	29cpaid	+227.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed Ecuador	9c	191.56$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.24	178	28.1%50 W · 128 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f8…a9efbacked Ecuador	17c	176.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	114	22.8%26 W · 88 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Ecuador	17c	176.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	148	31.8%47 W · 101 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5b…4a17backed Ecuador	15c	166.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	231	24.7%57 W · 174 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e7c…596cbacked Ecuador	18c	165.74$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.35	209	32.5%68 W · 141 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc66d…6f62backed Ecuador	16c	156.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0817…1eb1backed Ecuador	17c	150$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	68	50%34 W · 34 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Ecuador	7c	149.04$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.77	575	41.7%240 W · 335 L	-20.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Ecuador	9c	138.22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.44	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Ecuador	14c	137.74$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.28	228	46.9%107 W · 121 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06be…fddebacked Ecuador	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0156…8bbbbacked Ecuador	9c	133.33$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+98.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6c…5c05backed Ecuador	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Ecuador	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	96	22.9%22 W · 74 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Ecuador	13c	120.26$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.22	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3f26…bac3backed Ecuador	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	95	43.2%41 W · 54 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9837…ad59backed Ecuador	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-22%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d6d…a150backed Ecuador	20c	112.74$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc162…40bbbacked Ecuador	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b6…8b4cbacked Ecuador	18c	110.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.94	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-46%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa135…68b8backed Ecuador	16c	110.13$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.62	322	45.3%146 W · 176 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed Ecuador	15c	101$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.15	544	50.6%275 W · 269 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94ac…cd94backed Ecuador	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	285	44.6%127 W · 158 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa140…5531backed Ecuador	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	127	62.2%79 W · 48 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8503…4c75backed Ecuador	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-2.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4248…d43fbacked Ecuador	17c	99.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfff8…9cd6backed Ecuador	17c	99.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	40	15%6 W · 34 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad5…7373backed Ecuador	17c	99.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+4.2wins	+0.22per pick	41cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Ecuador	18c	94.22$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.96	114	31.6%36 W · 78 L	-9.2wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bc6…97dcbacked Ecuador	16c	93.75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24ee…4e60backed Ecuador	15c	92.67$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.9	73	30.1%22 W · 51 L	+5.8wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe3c…1a4cbacked Ecuador	17c	88.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	109	47.7%52 W · 57 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8371…5f47backed Ecuador	17c	88.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	76	50%38 W · 38 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x136f…7989backed Ecuador	16c	87.06$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d4…0e06backed Ecuador	16c	81.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.71	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x126f…e190backed Ecuador	15c	80$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Ecuador	16c	75$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.22	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8f…29b9backed Ecuador	17c	73.41$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.48	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)this page
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5Over won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 2.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5Over won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Côte d'Ivoire won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event