Fifa International · resolved market
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3c6cc2c6e02d94be79c986b4d6a067e53d3c0aa1af7f89fdeeed8a38c48fc3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 31c | 24,917$7,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,745.97 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No | 70c | 9,568$6,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.88 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 69c | 8,229$5,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.43 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +20.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 68c | 1,794$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.67 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 72c | 1,201$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.14 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed No | 63c | 1,092$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.93 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed No | 63c | 1,017$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.46 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…8d15backed Yes | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…fd7cbacked Yes | 29c | 521.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…bad1backed No | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 68c | 360.01$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.35 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebd…21cdbacked No | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked No | 70c | 284.78$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.43 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked No | 71c | 270$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 250.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 226.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed No | 73c | 222$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 204$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 79c | 170.04$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked No | 70c | 141.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed No | 74c | 124.32$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 65c | 81.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed No | 68c | 79.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…f5d4backed No | 64c | 76.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed No | 64c | 76.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed No | 70c | 71.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 68c | 70.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked No | 75c | 58.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 30c | 56.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 67c | 54.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 78c | 48.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…b863backed Yes | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 72c | 36.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 80c | 33.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked No | 68c | 32.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 305 | 47.2%144 W · 161 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcb…54b1backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked No | 73c | 31.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed No | 78c | 19.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 70c | 14.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 215 | 65.1%140 W · 75 L | +16.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 71c | 14.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfthis page
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.