Fifa International · resolved market
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb34e42870f0ed70aedecc23888c8537108ee472bc4341f7b8d90ddc02418f2c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 16c | 16,612$2,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.97 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…4e95backed Over | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 15c | 6,906$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.32 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 15c | 6,461$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.97 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 10c | 6,362$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.34 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…8d8ebacked Over | 14c | 4,789$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1159…c711backed Over | 15c | 4,621$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 8c | 4,365$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.22 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 15c | 4,097$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.74 | 469 | 39.4%185 W · 284 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 16c | 3,450$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dde…24ecbacked Over | 14c | 3,387$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 12c | 2,004$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.83 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 8c | 1,984$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.53 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 15c | 1,739$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.85 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed Over | 3c | 1,666$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 17c | 1,297$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.8 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 15c | 1,280$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 6c | 1,228$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Over | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 14c | 985.57$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.98 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1c…bd78backed Over | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Over | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 14c | 622.26$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 14c | 599.36$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 14c | 571.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f49…e67bbacked Over | 14c | 450.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…7428backed Over | 14c | 428.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over | 11c | 402.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 12c | 360$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 15c | 325.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Over | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 42.2%117 W · 160 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 14c | 281.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 16c | 263$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 4c | 257$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…f6dabacked Over | 15c | 238.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a3…a3eebacked Over | 15c | 202.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 7c | 201.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Over | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd0…fd2bbacked Over | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Over | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 229 | 14%32 W · 197 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Over | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cd…896abacked Over | 14c | 177.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…4576backed Over | 11c | 174.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Over | 14c | 169.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102a…df8ebacked Over | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Over | 14c | 134.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…9405backed Over | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed Over | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951a…8c9dbacked Over | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f33…17b8backed Over | 16c | 105.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c5…d569backed Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 14c | 99.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 152 | 25.7%39 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 14c | 99.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…76babacked Over | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…411bbacked Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 23.8%20 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…450ebacked Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…7df3backed Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7d…6897backed Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5this page
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.