Fifa International · resolved market
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19d6647a55eed3f0579d244a588da6e2c09f5634b0a3dcbbf3d166a364c7e563
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 10c | 4,296$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.89 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 8c | 3,020$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.35 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…fd7cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,991$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,503$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.75 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 68c | 1,492$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.44 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 1,482$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.26 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 32c | 1,416$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.04 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…dd9ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,322$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.49 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed No | 64c | 736.99$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.32 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 13c | 709.83$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 10c | 690$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 677.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…6edabacked Yes | 14c | 599.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…a83bbacked Yes | 15c | 523.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…e6bdbacked Yes | 10c | 410$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 37c | 374.24$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.5 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243a…ddb9backed Yes | 14c | 368.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…69ccbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 18c | 292$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 9c | 200.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…55fabacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ec…1481backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 308 | 18.5%57 W · 251 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 80c | 157.05$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 13c | 156.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…56a5backed Yes | 15c | 144.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…7708backed Yes | 9c | 125$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b6…5e52backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…e6d1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…5550backed Yes | 16c | 86.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed No | 66c | 71.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 31c | 70.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked No | 65c | 52.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b1…9888backed No | 68c | 45.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed No | 56c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed No | 67c | 32.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked No | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.