TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0bc6…97dc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+693.1%+$152.47
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$6.44
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$7.28
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$12.82
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$21.12
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)backed Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+150.9%+$16.6
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$15.1
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$14.68
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$14.68
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$11.67
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.55
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+109.4%+$21.89
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+40.2%+$13.54
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+26.9%+$13.84
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$12.82
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+44%+$19.44
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.05
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$16.05
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+36.4%+$5.09
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.