La Liga · resolved market
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x999d7ee6e6093e71d981cb347e5031e953757463862ef9185095a5204ae4edca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 9,551$6,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,318.73 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 4,677$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.03 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc940…4d39backed Yes | 44c | 4,606$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.14 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 29c | 4,423$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.82 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…f105backed Yes | 44c | 2,270$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 2,019$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.02 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 44c | 1,564$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 43c | 1,318$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.6 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 71c | 1,133$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.52 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 56c | 982.14$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.14 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 40c | 935.77$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.31 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 56c | 864.18$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.24 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 44c | 852.64$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.16 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 35c | 753.46$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 74c | 633.54$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.77 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79aa…1168backed Yes | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 68c | 578.61$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.14 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 38c | 506.59$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.21 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 63c | 470$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.39 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 57c | 438$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 39c | 390.85$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 55c | 374.03$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.31 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…f2a6backed Yes | 43c | 313.95$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 56c | 303.58$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.58 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Yes | 42c | 297.62$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 286.6$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.02 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 34c | 284.62$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 56c | 267.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.87 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 66c | 266.58$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.18 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 20c | 242.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd54a…1223backed Yes | 31c | 241.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Yes | 44c | 228.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 56c | 222.18$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 219.62$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 217.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa695…dfd9backed Yes | 44c | 215.91$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 57c | 207.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked No | 57c | 154.39$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 39c | 125.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 56c | 117.07$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 32c | 113.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 66c | 112.48$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 57c | 107.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…2b05backed Yes | 25c | 98.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 57c | 85.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 66c | 84.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 60c | 72.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…5f4ebacked Yes | 44c | 70.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 41cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 34c | 69.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 34c | 68.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5345…666abacked Yes | 44c | 66.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 59.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…cdf6backed Yes | 43c | 57.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…1297backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 33c | 54.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1205…13e2backed No | 63c | 49.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa754…4e7abacked Yes | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 69c | 44.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf37e…2709backed No | 63c | 37.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…6eadbacked Yes | 40c | 35.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a82…6a19backed Yes | 40c | 30.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e64…9cb7backed Yes | 34c | 29.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 58c | 29.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 59c | 27.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 57c | 23.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 59c | 20.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…891bbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7a…7887backed No | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 64c | 19.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd76…ba2ebacked No | 70c | 18.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 66c | 15.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14?this page
- Will Málaga CF vs. UD Almería end in a draw?Yes won
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.