La Liga · resolved market
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Almería end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x348549fa8f0babf3da7fe391c3b75c4ae1da0911bb964ea5d743c5abbe9a0e85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e3a…55babacked No | 71c | 11,820$8,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,392.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4550…f741backed Yes | 30c | 10,008$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,007.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 5,854$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.71 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed Yes | 31c | 4,007$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +153.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 3,500$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.89 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 1,479$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.93 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b94…b660backed Yes | 31c | 1,343$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +134%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 67c | 1,300$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.36 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e570backed No | 70c | 967.61$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 38c | 776.89$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.44 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 567.36$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.87 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 66c | 504.99$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.83 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 67c | 499.22$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.68 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 18c | 425.07$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.65 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 29c | 420$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.2 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 413.73$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.44 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 8c | 339$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…1eebbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 42c | 309.88$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.88 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 33c | 281.82$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.82 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 33c | 245.59$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.26 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 34c | 191.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.18 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Yes | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 67c | 142.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 26c | 127$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.98 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 32c | 124.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.81 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 57c | 121$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 29c | 108.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked Yes | 43c | 102.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 33c | 90.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 81.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…4576backed No | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 29c | 75.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 29c | 75.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 70c | 65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 29c | 63.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 29c | 63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Yes | 29c | 49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 42c | 48.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 30c | 40.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Yes | 29c | 37.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…7e33backed Yes | 30c | 34.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x492e…d5babacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…3646backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked No | 71c | 28.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 71c | 25.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 22.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b8…3fc9backed No | 56c | 21.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad2…5fa2backed Yes | 61c | 19.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc3…d8e9backed No | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Málaga CF vs. UD Almería end in a draw?this page
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14?No won
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.