TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Chisinau: Radu Albot vs Cezar Cretu

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cezar Cretuof Radu Albot, Cezar Cretu
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,136
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,904

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,136 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Radu Albot37c7,059$2,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,636.374,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3663…8950backed Cezar Cretu58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.239443.1%170 W · 224 L+20.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Cezar Cretu74c2,703$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.191,13145.4%514 W · 617 L-34.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Cezar Cretu75c2,372$1,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.611,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Radu Albot23c2,314$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.941,43728.5%409 W · 1,028 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cezar Cretu69c2,312$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7118,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Cezar Cretu65c2,250$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.553655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Radu Albot49c1,833$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90062061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Cezar Cretu68c1,400$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.330847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Radu Albot37c1,352$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50094968.1%646 W · 303 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Cezar Cretu68c1,200$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37958745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Radu Albot34c1,187$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.733438.6%129 W · 205 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cezar Cretu75c1,125$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.144,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Cezar Cretu70c1,010$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30315248%73 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Radu Albot33c1,003$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33160753.7%326 W · 281 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3555…ba40backed Radu Albot30c922.91$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.876758.2%39 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Radu Albot19c907.36$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.171,73052.2%903 W · 827 L-8.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cezar Cretu63c829.67$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.928,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Cezar Cretu73c743.58$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.654,97538.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L-19.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Cezar Cretu73c718.23$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.3479040.6%321 W · 469 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Radu Albot30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Cezar Cretu70c618.19$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.323,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Radu Albot33c611.97$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.9585348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Radu Albot33c611.97$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.9565952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Cezar Cretu77c600$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1387865.4%51 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Radu Albot39c537.48$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.562,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Radu Albot32c531.23$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.5142125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Cezar Cretu67c450$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.538144.6%170 W · 211 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Radu Albot45c444.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9928562.8%179 W · 106 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Radu Albot29c436.55$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9357842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Cezar Cretu68c434.79$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.131,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Radu Albot24c380.32$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6885624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x660b…9852backed Radu Albot27c370.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005326.4%14 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Radu Albot33c321.78$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3511,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Radu Albot30c317.9$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.372,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Radu Albot30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9028031.8%89 W · 191 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d4…d869backed Radu Albot30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010246.1%47 W · 55 L+10.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+51.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Radu Albot28c296$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.81,22953.1%653 W · 576 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Radu Albot33c290.61$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.923735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Cezar Cretu70c287.55$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.943,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27fa…d8c4backed Radu Albot35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013928.1%39 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Radu Albot34c283.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5311158.6%65 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d07…b9febacked Radu Albot7c280.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.753208.8%28 W · 292 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Radu Albot30c274.29$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.294,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Radu Albot12c271.91$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8451339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cezar Cretu71c260.54$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.59,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f1…701fbacked Cezar Cretu72c234.41$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.634143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Radu Albot33c227.27$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7533540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Radu Albot31c226.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3522255.4%123 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked Radu Albot24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027528.4%78 W · 197 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Radu Albot30c208$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.47,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Radu Albot28c170.62$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1799244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7c7…3b08backed Radu Albot30c166.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050958%295 W · 214 L-26.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x815b…a1c7backed Radu Albot18c164.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307338.4%28 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Cezar Cretu68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0683056.1%466 W · 364 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Cezar Cretu68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0669253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Radu Albot13c138$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.351,84241%755 W · 1,087 L-31.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Radu Albot29c137.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.291,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba1a…85febacked Radu Albot30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4072651.8%376 W · 350 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Cezar Cretu71c129.67$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5692138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Radu Albot28c125.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7396945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Cezar Cretu73c122.61$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.876,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Cezar Cretu67c116.97$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.67,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Radu Albot26c114$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.666,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f25…4f11backed Cezar Cretu69c113.67$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.34854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Cezar Cretu79c110$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.11,78548.7%869 W · 916 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a89…df4bbacked Cezar Cretu73c106.71$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8114657.5%84 W · 62 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Cezar Cretu79c99.86$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.924,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Cezar Cretu74c99.41$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.645,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Radu Albot27c99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7397852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Cezar Cretu70c96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.850351.5%259 W · 244 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Radu Albot32c93.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.773,26240.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc369…b1ccbacked Cezar Cretu67c90.03$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7140254.5%219 W · 183 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Radu Albot25c88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2275912.1%92 W · 667 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Radu Albot29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535444.6%158 W · 196 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4f…7d02backed Radu Albot24c84.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick20cpaid+13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0813…41e1backed Cezar Cretu68c84$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8837158.8%218 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Cezar Cretu67c81$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.732,27542.7%972 W · 1,303 L+33.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Radu Albot36c77.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.081,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Radu Albot14c76.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7313444%59 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Radu Albot35c75.08$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262,17937%807 W · 1,372 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Cezar Cretu67c74.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5639941.9%167 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a311backed Radu Albot24c71.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.111735.9%42 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Cezar Cretu67c70.09$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.131,77252.1%923 W · 849 L-1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Radu Albot30c64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1812942.6%55 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Radu Albot30c63.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.762,09944.5%935 W · 1,164 L-51.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba4…0a0bbacked Radu Albot28c62.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Radu Albot30c61.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.595658.2%556 W · 400 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Radu Albot19c59.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.266834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Cezar Cretu63c58.7$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2264346.2%297 W · 346 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Cezar Cretu60c52.19$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.881,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Cezar Cretu70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,26944.8%568 W · 701 L-5.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Radu Albot31c49.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.361,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Cezar Cretu67c45.02$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7747854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Cezar Cretu65c44.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.891755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed Radu Albot29c41.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251347%241 W · 272 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcadd…c7e6backed Radu Albot37c40.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.184626.1%12 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x794c…fa17backed Cezar Cretu77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.215070%105 W · 45 L+0.6wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf1…b20cbacked Cezar Cretu73c39.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.691752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Radu Albot28c38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6451644.8%231 W · 285 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.