Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0895fca71f65fc780079cc4a5380bc2e54873fc714057b7d0360a12844da78d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 73c | 1,436$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.33 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 29c | 1,350$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.45 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…69a1backed No | 70c | 642.85$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.86 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 3c | 640.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 25c | 567.42$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…c4cebacked Yes | 3c | 546.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 25c | 470.13$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.76 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeadb…898ebacked Yes | 39c | 467.97$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.85 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 33c | 437.01$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.14 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 73c | 408.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.44 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 21c | 393.42$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775b…ea10backed Yes | 3c | 360.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 29c | 293.66$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.76 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 18c | 288$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…27aabacked Yes | 37c | 271.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…2959backed No | 71c | 264.43$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.47 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 69c | 258.64$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 15c | 250.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 64c | 221.59$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…aa2abacked No | 69c | 216.01$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 28c | 212.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 67c | 211.05$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf97a…3269backed Yes | 27c | 207$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 29c | 204.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…bad4backed Yes | 34c | 203.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…3f95backed No | 60c | 172.94$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 22c | 171.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…a4febacked Yes | 36c | 153.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…ba8bbacked Yes | 27c | 148.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 75c | 147.3$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 68c | 145.55$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 140.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 26c | 137.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 35c | 132$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 130.39$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 129.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc5…d49fbacked Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…aadbbacked No | 64c | 124.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 30c | 123.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 67c | 120$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…cfe2backed Yes | 31c | 114.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 67c | 111.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 20c | 109.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…e13fbacked Yes | 28c | 106.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 61c | 105.33$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 23c | 101.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…3a35backed No | 61c | 99.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070d…6ff7backed Yes | 30c | 98.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 20c | 97.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed Yes | 31c | 97.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf384…75a5backed No | 74c | 95.42$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 38c | 95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 76c | 87.03$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2b9abacked Yes | 32c | 84.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4875…149bbacked Yes | 32c | 80.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 61c | 77.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…2e8abacked Yes | 22c | 72.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 33c | 72.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8c…e802backed No | 67c | 71.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 67c | 70.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 78c | 67.34$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 30c | 66.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 31c | 66.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 71c | 66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…8acbbacked No | 61c | 65.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed Yes | 21c | 65.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 30c | 65.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 22c | 65.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…89b7backed No | 58c | 64.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 24c | 58.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 59c | 57.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…da26backed Yes | 35c | 57.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…1751backed Yes | 35c | 56.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 35c | 54.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…5731backed Yes | 24c | 50.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Yes | 40c | 50.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 27cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed51…326abacked Yes | 40c | 50.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…39abbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 148 | 33.1%49 W · 99 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 74c | 49.26$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 76c | 48.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 28c | 45.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 62c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed Yes | 32c | 40.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bb…7e81backed No | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d2…ff97backed Yes | 38c | 39.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b70…12b4backed Yes | 32c | 39.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +10.1wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 59c | 38.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…e9fabacked Yes | 29c | 38.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…24fabacked No | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b3…8334backed Yes | 43c | 35.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 33.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 1?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.