Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x374c25b7d7a79e8b44e1eac6dd9c435a64ef1580de07413d8d6ac675b5932b1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,660$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 25c | 684.23$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…54e9backed Yes | 3c | 460.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 136 | 14.7%20 W · 116 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc293…675dbacked Yes | 5c | 430.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 408.6$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.15 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 80c | 403$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.27 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 29c | 354.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 325.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 18c | 288$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 7c | 249.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf3…2c58backed Yes | 5c | 237.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 21c | 221.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 32c | 211.4$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 69c | 209.44$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.36 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 31c | 203.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 10c | 198$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 9c | 193.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 37c | 190.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…f8b0backed No | 80c | 183.8$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 22c | 176.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 10c | 175.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 69c | 171$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 33c | 164.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeadb…898ebacked Yes | 11c | 153.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 34c | 151$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…3f95backed No | 70c | 149.28$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 18c | 131.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…89b7backed No | 71c | 126.16$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 28c | 121.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed Yes | 34c | 116.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 14c | 111.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 106.86$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 27c | 102.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…0ac4backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…a4febacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 69c | 89.84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 30c | 78.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…cf90backed Yes | 29c | 78.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…c243backed Yes | 32c | 78.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 35c | 78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 73c | 76.61$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…cfe2backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 26c | 74.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 21c | 72.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…ba8bbacked Yes | 29c | 69.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 66c | 63.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb84…a2dfbacked Yes | 32c | 62.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…2ca4backed Yes | 33c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 208 | 33.2%69 W · 139 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 72c | 60.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 74c | 58.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…a30bbacked Yes | 34c | 58.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 67c | 57.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 28c | 57.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 30c | 57.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 72c | 54.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 32c | 53.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 66c | 53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…da26backed Yes | 37c | 52.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Yes | 34c | 52.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed No | 73c | 52.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 76c | 51.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked No | 61c | 50.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 32c | 50.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86cd…5488backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab9…cbc0backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…a773backed No | 72c | 48.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 42c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 27c | 44.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 28c | 42.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 66c | 42.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 39c | 41.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x139e…a5debacked Yes | 29c | 41.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 249 | 51.4%128 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…534abacked No | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 31c | 38.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 70c | 38.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 72c | 36.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 68c | 35.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 69c | 35.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…ca83backed No | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…e43ebacked No | 65c | 31.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 180 | 60%108 W · 72 L | -21.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…24fabacked No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x177b…6e61backed No | 67c | 27.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…ab7dbacked No | 76c | 27.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…b5a3backed No | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 72c | 24.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 1?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.