Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca1419ca7fbd84c32b373a391604fddb100d7936c9adc26f102e9e9dbd88add0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 25c | 2,233$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.92 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 11c | 1,200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.28 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked No | 74c | 939.8$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.39 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 24c | 670.35$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.5 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 42c | 479.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.56 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 27c | 453.31$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.73 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 65c | 408.6$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.81 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 39c | 380.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.33 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed No | 77c | 361.85$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.87 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 24c | 338.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.73 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 74c | 326.11$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.91 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 54c | 299.67$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.24 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 284.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.1 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…2e8abacked Yes | 73c | 282.71$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 22c | 264$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.99 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad2…5b01backed No | 23c | 252.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 51c | 248.23$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 22c | 239$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed No | 71c | 233.89$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 37c | 230.49$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.68 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed No | 16c | 230$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.99 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 17c | 190.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 13c | 166.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 8c | 164.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Yes | 29c | 161.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.36 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 71c | 156.51$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…f0bbbacked Yes | 24c | 154.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +190.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…f8b0backed No | 77c | 147.51$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.61 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 77c | 145$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.23 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 68c | 135.48$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed No | 78c | 129.87$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked No | 75c | 120.77$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.58 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 23c | 120.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 28c | 112.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…4ccabacked No | 40c | 111.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e1…c152backed Yes | 27c | 109.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 202 | 31.2%63 W · 139 L | +22.2wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 28c | 107.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 28c | 106.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 39c | 103.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c29…f3bbbacked No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…da46backed Yes | 24c | 99.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 146 | 35.6%52 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 55c | 97.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 96.84$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 25c | 89.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa6…49a1backed No | 79c | 82.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6e…4f4abacked No | 13c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 27c | 75.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 21c | 75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 42c | 74.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 22c | 71.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e17…4dd9backed No | 73c | 68.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed No | 29c | 65.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b70…12b4backed No | 29c | 65.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +10.1wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 75c | 65.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 74c | 63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 19c | 61.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 37c | 60.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11d…44ecbacked No | 41c | 60.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e64…2604backed Yes | 25c | 59.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 68c | 59.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…a30bbacked Yes | 35c | 56.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5398…ceb0backed No | 28c | 52.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…a47bbacked Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes | 32c | 50.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 200 | 27.5%55 W · 145 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…5731backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 23c | 49.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 48c | 48.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 70c | 44.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 66c | 43.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…2c6bbacked Yes | 26c | 43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 188 | 14.4%27 W · 161 L | -14.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…f19ebacked Yes | 27c | 41.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4875…149bbacked No | 74c | 40.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…fc3fbacked No | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf279…202cbacked No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…b5a3backed No | 72c | 38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe978…ab29backed No | 77c | 35.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 74c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 41c | 32.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 70c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 71c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked No | 72c | 30.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…3a35backed No | 75c | 30.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177b…6e61backed No | 78c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…e9fabacked No | 72c | 29.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 79c | 23.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4d…2725backed No | 74c | 21.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.