Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x938ebf7f323d96b3b28a209b82f2a0e4580f1f5d4977f23f96d1b5c07b8a5611
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 54c | 2,979$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.86 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 2,302$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.11 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 48c | 2,102$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 44c | 1,275$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.54 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 46c | 944.83$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.62 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked No | 55c | 863.64$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…c25cbacked Yes | 47c | 850.28$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 46c | 533.35$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.34 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 52c | 512.21$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…45cebacked Yes | 46c | 493.91$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 52c | 260$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 45c | 258.17$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.86 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 43c | 232.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 52c | 229.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.34 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 54c | 226.55$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.11 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…b0d4backed Yes | 46c | 215.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…1ad4backed Yes | 47c | 193.21$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 64c | 187.8$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 412 | 43.4%179 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 54c | 178.5$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 62c | 159.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 38c | 149.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc5…d49fbacked No | 55c | 143.31$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 138.11$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 49c | 129.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 44c | 116$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +11.0wins | +0.31per pick | 43cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…cea4backed Yes | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361f…5edabacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed No | 54c | 100.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 34cpaid | +131.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 54c | 92.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40d…d654backed Yes | 46c | 87.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa00…3cf9backed Yes | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 66c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 200 | 41%82 W · 118 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…b6e5backed Yes | 46c | 58.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82e8…ffcabacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…739abacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…fe22backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…d8e2backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x534a…023abacked No | 56c | 36.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…77a9backed Yes | 45c | 33.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55cd…c10ebacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1e…4086backed No | 59c | 23.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 55c | 23.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 55c | 20.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC leading at halftime?this page
- AFC Bournemouth leading at halftime?Yes won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.