CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1746040cd0269c241b28f742499b74f2ed2a47b50a1cb9e31ba4056be2c424d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof illwill, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked illwill | 19c | 5,350$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ex-RUBY | 47c | 2,549$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.47 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed ex-RUBY | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.16 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1661…4b37backed ex-RUBY | 62c | 1,965$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.16 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked ex-RUBY | 56c | 1,660$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.74 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed illwill | 33c | 1,640$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.37 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked illwill | 41c | 1,603$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…20abbacked ex-RUBY | 64c | 1,529$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.47 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked ex-RUBY | 72c | 1,455$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.23 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked illwill | 54c | 1,308$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.15 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed ex-RUBY | 46c | 1,202$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.27 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed illwill | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.99 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-RUBY | 52c | 1,194$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.6 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0e…021ebacked ex-RUBY | 62c | 952.77$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.18 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked ex-RUBY | 58c | 872.86$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.1 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked illwill | 51c | 776.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.59 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed ex-RUBY | 78c | 688.51$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.91 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked ex-RUBY | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c70…9a6cbacked illwill | 53c | 513.21$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed ex-RUBY | 49c | 512.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.86 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked illwill | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed illwill | 28c | 499.93$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.98 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed illwill | 32c | 442.05$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.03 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked ex-RUBY | 58c | 425.97$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.97 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-RUBY | 48c | 419.82$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.9 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed illwill | 47c | 410.26$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.92 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed illwill | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.2 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked illwill | 40c | 400$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed illwill | 49c | 399.96$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.98 | 212 | 47.6%101 W · 111 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…af95backed illwill | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed illwill | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed illwill | 54c | 367.17$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.48 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked illwill | 50c | 307$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.5 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed ex-RUBY | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed illwill | 33c | 299.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed illwill | 35c | 279.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.13 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed illwill | 27c | 272.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ex-RUBY | 48c | 257.36$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.86 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked illwill | 54c | 217.85$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.64 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed illwill | 50c | 210$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.65 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…48dabacked illwill | 32c | 209.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked illwill | 48c | 207.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a4…f92ebacked illwill | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed illwill | 53c | 190.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed illwill | 53c | 187.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked ex-RUBY | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.3 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fb…60cbbacked illwill | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed illwill | 28c | 145.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed ex-RUBY | 69c | 143.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c5…2353backed ex-RUBY | 52c | 133.74$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38b7…cfa7backed illwill | 23c | 125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUBY | 66c | 124.71$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…cc47backed illwill | 35c | 124$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked ex-RUBY | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed ex-RUBY | 49c | 121.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc5…d49fbacked ex-RUBY | 69c | 120.06$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed illwill | 53c | 109.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed illwill | 53c | 109.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked ex-RUBY | 51c | 105.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked illwill | 33c | 104.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7d…26c4backed illwill | 50c | 103.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -7.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed ex-RUBY | 51c | 103.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked ex-RUBY | 67c | 94.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed illwill | 33c | 93.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ex-RUBY | 68c | 92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa03c…f557backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked illwill | 27c | 86.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked illwill | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed illwill | 52c | 82.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked illwill | 51c | 81.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed illwill | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed illwill | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c3…4d56backed illwill | 31c | 72.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed illwill | 52c | 71.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0565…14d9backed ex-RUBY | 70c | 70.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…1e80backed ex-RUBY | 49c | 70.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…0da3backed illwill | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed ex-RUBY | 45c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked illwill | 53c | 65.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed ex-RUBY | 71c | 63.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…a5d4backed illwill | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -6.1wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed illwill | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…1b2ebacked ex-RUBY | 63c | 62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked illwill | 43c | 61.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…71d4backed ex-RUBY | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked illwill | 19c | 58.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed illwill | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed illwill | 47c | 56.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7708…8b37backed illwill | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…27e4backed illwill | 46c | 52.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed ex-RUBY | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked illwill | 43c | 51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed ex-RUBY | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed illwill | 33c | 49.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked illwill | 55c | 44.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e9…bf34backed illwill | 54c | 40.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ILWL (-1.5) vs ex-RUBY (+1.5)ex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.