TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ex-RUBYof illwill, ex-RUBY
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,745
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,309

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,745 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0506…8c6abacked illwill19c5,350$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.27520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked ex-RUBY47c2,549$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.4784454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed ex-RUBY48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.1660248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1661…4b37backed ex-RUBY62c1,965$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.167349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked ex-RUBY56c1,660$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.741,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed illwill33c1,640$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.3731345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked illwill41c1,603$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6523,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd8f…20abbacked ex-RUBY64c1,529$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.473557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca5e…4a1cbacked ex-RUBY72c1,455$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.239443.6%41 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked illwill54c1,308$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.155,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed ex-RUBY46c1,202$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.2718356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed illwill52c1,200$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.9926054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ex-RUBY52c1,194$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.64,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a0e…021ebacked ex-RUBY62c952.77$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.182231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked ex-RUBY58c872.86$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.127552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked illwill51c776.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.5912950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6013…9826backed ex-RUBY78c688.51$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9111863.6%75 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked ex-RUBY48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8340148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c70…9a6cbacked illwill53c513.21$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2725137.3%19 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed ex-RUBY49c512.86$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.8698856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked illwill48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2407,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed illwill28c499.93$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.9855941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed illwill32c442.05$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0324942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked ex-RUBY58c425.97$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9731451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ex-RUBY48c419.82$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.95,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed illwill47c410.26$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9231241.3%129 W · 183 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed illwill49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed ex-RUBY50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.27145.1%32 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked illwill40c400$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1582,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed illwill49c399.96$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9821247.6%101 W · 111 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed illwill53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023757%135 W · 102 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed illwill53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20052456.3%295 W · 229 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed illwill54c367.17$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.482,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked illwill50c307$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.563541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed ex-RUBY69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9326245.8%120 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed illwill33c299.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.831,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed illwill35c279.29$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.135639.3%22 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed illwill27c272.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.946,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed ex-RUBY48c257.36$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.861,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ad…71acbacked illwill54c217.85$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.642454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed illwill50c210$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6557641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23b4…48dabacked illwill32c209.52$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9210942.2%46 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked illwill48c207.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71a4…f92ebacked illwill33c199.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed illwill53c190.57$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10118054.4%98 W · 82 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed illwill53c187.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6139038.5%150 W · 240 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked ex-RUBY51c176.47$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.474141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed ex-RUBY50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.364058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50fb…60cbbacked illwill47c160$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.42634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed illwill28c145.55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.394,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed ex-RUBY69c143.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.934963.3%31 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7c5…2353backed ex-RUBY52c133.74$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.377250%36 W · 36 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38b7…cfa7backed illwill23c125$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.58058.8%47 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUBY66c124.71$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.064,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ab…cc47backed illwill35c124$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bfe…5c6cbacked ex-RUBY49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4522954.6%125 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed8…7559backed ex-RUBY49c121.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2221950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cc5…d49fbacked ex-RUBY69c120.06$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed illwill53c109.43$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5829757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed illwill53c109.43$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5830951.5%159 W · 150 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked ex-RUBY51c105.13$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5195642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked illwill33c104.73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.795,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7d…26c4backed illwill50c103.49$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.754643.5%20 W · 26 L-7.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed ex-RUBY51c103.14$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5432138.3%123 W · 198 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed ex-RUBY50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.237050.5%187 W · 183 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked ex-RUBY67c94.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.391648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed illwill33c93.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3121636.1%78 W · 138 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed ex-RUBY68c92$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.262,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa03c…f557backed ex-RUBY56c88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.567251.4%37 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked illwill27c86.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.683828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked illwill36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020145.8%92 W · 109 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed illwill52c82.12$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.614953.7%80 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked illwill51c81.69$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6691945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed illwill50c76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3816754.5%91 W · 76 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed illwill40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41c3…4d56backed illwill31c72.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.681764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed illwill52c71.65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.421,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0565…14d9backed ex-RUBY70c70.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…1e80backed ex-RUBY49c70.74$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.742556%14 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aae…0da3backed illwill46c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.314255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed ex-RUBY50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3533048.8%161 W · 169 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x63c6…a5c9backed ex-RUBY45c66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.323146.3%107 W · 124 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked illwill53c65.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8245450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58cc…2296backed ex-RUBY71c63.49$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.493073.3%22 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x28ca…a5d4backed illwill32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202524%6 W · 19 L-6.1wins-0.24per pick48cpaid-55.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xfc38…c3b4backed illwill32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2033950.7%172 W · 167 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3762…1b2ebacked ex-RUBY63c62$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9410100%10 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3724…c59abacked illwill43c61.4$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.49732%31 W · 66 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed ex-RUBY48c60.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4217153.2%91 W · 80 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked illwill19c58.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8927452.2%143 W · 131 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2212backed illwill53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3034547.5%164 W · 181 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed illwill47c56.26$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4449935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7708…8b37backed illwill49c53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed illwill46c52.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.374450%22 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d31…07b0backed ex-RUBY48c52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.942556%14 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked illwill43c51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.931,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed ex-RUBY48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2699148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed illwill33c49.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2222740.5%92 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked illwill55c44.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3933657.1%192 W · 144 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e9…bf34backed illwill54c40.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0223644.1%104 W · 132 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.