TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Angelsof Los Angeles Angels, Los Angeles Dodgers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,974
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,974 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7634…600dbacked Los Angeles Angels54c39,994$21,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,207.6560350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers55c8,723$4,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,794.3611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Los Angeles Dodgers49c7,000$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4306839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Los Angeles Angels25c6,012$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,508.9741051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels36c5,462$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,502.636,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1001741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers45c3,837$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.528,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Los Angeles Angels31c3,049$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.911,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Los Angeles Angels37c2,623$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.7879255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Dodgers49c2,574$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.998,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Los Angeles Dodgers76c1,924$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.3917354.9%95 W · 78 L-14.0wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-13.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Los Angeles Angels29c1,516$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.931942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Los Angeles Angels26c1,317$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.4432450.9%165 W · 159 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Los Angeles Angels27c1,223$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.681,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Los Angeles Angels27c1,220$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.511,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Los Angeles Angels42c1,174$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.5297050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Dodgers75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers37c954.88$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.0612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Dodgers49c936$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.484,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c897.45$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.343,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c50…d08fbacked Los Angeles Angels61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Angels57c818.68$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.293,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Los Angeles Angels38c742.17$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.142,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Los Angeles Angels78c703.81$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.5788053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Los Angeles Angels43c695.68$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.751,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c647.9$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.648,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Los Angeles Angels35c618$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.641,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Los Angeles Angels36c581.31$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.266056.2%371 W · 289 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Los Angeles Angels41c558.23$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.421,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c503.39$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.674,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe046…9bc6backed Los Angeles Angels36c419.58$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2511158.6%65 W · 46 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a50…e934backed Los Angeles Dodgers74c400.02$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.636768.7%46 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Los Angeles Angels24c400$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3061,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Los Angeles Angels39c394$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.641,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Los Angeles Angels36c319.26$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.11,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Los Angeles Angels50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Los Angeles Dodgers49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14711134.2%38 W · 73 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1026…e794backed Los Angeles Angels36c289.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.27160.6%43 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ed…0adfbacked Los Angeles Angels36c289.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.224657.3%141 W · 105 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e0e…704abacked Los Angeles Angels36c289.69$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.97758.4%45 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Los Angeles Dodgers42c281.24$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1226747.9%128 W · 139 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers75c240$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x165d…a4d5backed Los Angeles Angels36c229.68$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.399960.6%60 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers76c224.22$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.414,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Angels51c221.88$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.463,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Los Angeles Dodgers42c202.38$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8563943.3%277 W · 362 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Angels42c185.1$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.695,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cc5…d49fbacked Los Angeles Angels40c178.1$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.863557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c152.39$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9372655.4%402 W · 324 L+40.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Los Angeles Angels51c142.76$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.531,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Dodgers67c121.03$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.241,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x7b95…5733backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c118.51$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0321055.2%116 W · 94 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Los Angeles Dodgers43c111.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5343043%185 W · 245 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Los Angeles Angels46c106.63$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.892,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers66c104.25$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.454,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Los Angeles Angels38c103.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1225357.3%145 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Los Angeles Angels30c84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.853261.8%329 W · 203 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Los Angeles Angels35c83.64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6958649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x982c…0d6ebacked Los Angeles Angels38c82.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.398048.8%39 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x974d…bd82backed Los Angeles Angels25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Los Angeles Angels30c78.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.781,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea4b…5885backed Los Angeles Angels29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick31cpaid+172.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Los Angeles Angels42c68.76$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.742,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Los Angeles Angels51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6319353.9%104 W · 89 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Los Angeles Angels51c64.67$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.012,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Los Angeles Angels35c63.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3540554.8%222 W · 183 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Los Angeles Angels50c63.1$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.731,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…822dbacked Los Angeles Angels35c61.68$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.057955.7%44 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Los Angeles Dodgers60c61.62$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1311256.3%63 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Los Angeles Angels50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256660.6%40 W · 26 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Los Angeles Angels51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0227646.7%129 W · 147 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Los Angeles Dodgers49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043560%261 W · 174 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Los Angeles Angels34c40.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.771,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1496…e155backed Los Angeles Angels38c39.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2112050%60 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Los Angeles Dodgers63c37.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.82,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Los Angeles Angels60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3332157%183 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95fa…bf35backed Los Angeles Angels40c32.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.565644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Angels46c32.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.664,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3894…decfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers55c27.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2637551.2%192 W · 183 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Los Angeles Angels39c26.07$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7831963%201 W · 118 L+27.5wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers64c24.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.925,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Dodgers47c22.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.726,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers51c20.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5870154.2%380 W · 321 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17be…e5b4backed Los Angeles Dodgers72c17.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9344651.6%230 W · 216 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers68c17.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7315143.7%66 W · 85 L-12.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers75c14.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2422151.6%114 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.