MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x654e992bbbe449e805a115b68b186c170a01f3c57b86d918f7cfa9363810c8e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 3,875$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.51 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Under | 56c | 3,184$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.98 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 2,089$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.56 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 59c | 1,491$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.78 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 57c | 843.44$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.22 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 50c | 653.5$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.32 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5894…c28ebacked Under | 32c | 436.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.73 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 34c | 406$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.96 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 49c | 395.92$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.92 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 38c | 252.83$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.75 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 62c | 241.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 72c | 188.39$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 28c | 126.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 39c | 123.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.11 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Over | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 68c | 99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 64c | 90.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 46c | 78.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Over | 64c | 67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 58c | 61.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…5733backed Over | 61c | 61.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 46c | 55.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 57c | 53.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Over | 47c | 40.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 35c | 36.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 50c | 32.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Over | 54c | 27.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 57c | 26.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 55c | 22.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Over | 64c | 22.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 60c | 20.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Angels won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 13.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 18.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.