TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,195
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,195 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb91a…3987backed Under52c38,215$19,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,871.613561.5%83 W · 52 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over48c27,040$12,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,060.9510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Over48c20,723$9,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,776.1132251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Under52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,399.9360350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over48c18,071$8,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,397.044,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over49c15,297$7,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,739.6411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Under51c14,948$7,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,678.8214943.6%65 W · 84 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69b9…cd53backed Under53c12,000$6,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,360757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5762…90eebacked Under53c11,297$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0006552.3%34 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xced2…d98abacked Under52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.993145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c8,233$3,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,363.381,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Under20c7,566$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.31741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over47c6,279$2,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,310.83,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under34c6,029$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,020.338,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c5,061$2,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,654.785,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under22c3,392$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.8312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over56c3,386$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.498,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cac…1744backed Under44c2,382$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.061540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over50c1,975$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.383,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under40c1,951$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.348,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over47c1,865$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.4575049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over58c1,579$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.966,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5257…f324backed Under32c1,560$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.072744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4149158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Under42c1,018$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.0721242%89 W · 123 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over54c973$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.5810545.7%48 W · 57 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over47c957.42$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.4339948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over47c941.11$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.574,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over48c939.73$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.6665549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Under59c900$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.0566050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over67c743.27$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.711,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c700.12$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.066,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under53c562.81$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.295356.6%30 W · 23 L+6.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+41.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over48c540.02$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.8128154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over56c502.79$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.992,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c4…8e87backed Over49c404.46$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39e9…e2dfbacked Under53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2127259.7%43 W · 29 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Under53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5894…c28ebacked Under29c341$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.034045%18 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over38c318.84$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.6819842.9%85 W · 113 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under20c308$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.657046.8%267 W · 303 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Over67c297.97$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5732450.9%165 W · 159 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under20c283$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.61,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Under53c264.15$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over47c240$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.22,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under36c228.82$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.585,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under43c225.46$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.954,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Under53c215.66$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.35433.3%18 W · 36 L-9.2wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3afb…0004backed Under53c207.09$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7610650%53 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Over70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6026860.4%162 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425260.3%152 W · 100 L+16.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over48c197.92$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9263943.3%277 W · 362 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Under51c193.59$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8953644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3f…1365backed Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015159.6%90 W · 61 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under30c188.33$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2643043%185 W · 245 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Under53c186.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over47c176$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.551,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over57c173.21$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4879255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over50c168.64$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0151555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4a0…3accbacked Under53c167.92$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over60c151.41$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4872655.4%402 W · 324 L+40.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8347549.7%236 W · 239 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Under35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047850.4%241 W · 237 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over47c142$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.262,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b95…5733backed Over61c139.07$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7121055.2%116 W · 94 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x558f…fe94backed Under53c130.75$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.31040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over47c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.61,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x884e…6f62backed Under9c118.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over48c116.67$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6754651.3%280 W · 266 L+29.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over47c115.28$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.672,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over70c112.54$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.011,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over52c107.37$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5490446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ae…dc88backed Over47c106$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.183852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Over54c105.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2130340.6%123 W · 180 L-16.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1727646.7%129 W · 147 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd27c…d9b8backed Under53c103.09$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.643860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over48c101.78$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9312352.8%65 W · 58 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5289053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7736…6f6abacked Under28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284841.7%20 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5339846.5%185 W · 213 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6474…bd11backed Under53c96.75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.284259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ed6…2322backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over60c93.59$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.221,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Under31c92.69$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8611150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over51c86.28$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.283,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over69c81.26$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.872,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under29c77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1135248%169 W · 183 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over62c75.3$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2866056.2%371 W · 289 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9a…9903backed Over69c72.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.641947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under40c71.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.831,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe046…9bc6backed Over62c68.65$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7811158.6%65 W · 46 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked Under27c68.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.448944.9%40 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Over59c67.32$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5625357.3%145 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under45c66.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.914,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Over76c64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5415143.7%66 W · 85 L-12.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under32c63.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.22,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over37c62.16$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1631343.5%136 W · 177 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda54…b8a1backed Over55c60.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5728456.7%161 W · 123 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Under42c59.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.791,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.