MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf322cd178b9d35f9bcd04bb5abc925213689581775da1ff6fb0c31fe231c4e8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Los Angeles Angels, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 21,544$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 21,116$12,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,567.87 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 10c | 11,483$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,374.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 10,169$4,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,433.59 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 9,916$3,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,768.03 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 38c | 3,350$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.81 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 1,805$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.99 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels | 32c | 919.33$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.33 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Los Angeles Angels | 11c | 747.41$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.07 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 736$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.34 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 652.36$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.02 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 598.87$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.41 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 360$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.75 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 342.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.91 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 324.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 245.6$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.36 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 232.4$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 213.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.69 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Los Angeles Angels | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Angels | 36c | 185.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…d08fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 68c | 184$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 145.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 143.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.29 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 142.26$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.88 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 15c | 123.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.23 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 107.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…5885backed Los Angeles Angels | 17c | 66.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +172.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 64.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ce…b36fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 20c | 62.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 58.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 50.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 45.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…dc37backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 42.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Los Angeles Angels | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 35.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 32.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 28.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 20.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7891…c020backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 20.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e6…e8f9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 16.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Angels won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 13.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 18.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.