MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d0dd941cff77cf37503f958f2a5f55b306ebcab6315cd23cf2fd046f2fb8bbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Los Angeles Angels, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 12,604$7,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,663.5 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 6,816$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.78 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 38c | 5,598$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,471.89 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels | 25c | 5,125$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,848.43 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 3,623$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.91 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 2,283$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.43 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Los Angeles Angels | 22c | 1,174$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.76 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 1,044$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.9 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 810.01$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.51 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 79c | 507.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Los Angeles Angels | 28c | 389.61$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.98 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Los Angeles Angels | 28c | 349.57$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.69 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 334.62$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.96 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 319.49$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.1 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 312.69$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.1 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 259.05$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.43 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Los Angeles Angels | 28c | 226.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.39 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Los Angeles Angels | 28c | 225.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.62 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…5885backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 14c | 183.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +172.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…9bc6backed Los Angeles Angels | 28c | 181.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.46 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 180$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 78c | 145.07$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.07 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…a5e3backed Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 143.52$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Los Angeles Angels | 30c | 131.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Los Angeles Angels | 22c | 124.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.24 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…e794backed Los Angeles Angels | 28c | 113.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…a4d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 28c | 113.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 28c | 113.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.59 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…704abacked Los Angeles Angels | 28c | 113.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 103.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 90.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Angels | 73c | 79.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 77.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 59.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…5b69backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 55.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 21.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 21.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Angels won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 13.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 18.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.