MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xded6703b172dc732ecfecaf64c3e16aad655a1359847cdc9ae56e70a267e486d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof KT Wiz, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked KT Wiz | 40c | 1,900$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.48 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked KT Wiz | 43c | 804.76$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.36 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Doosan Bears | 63c | 687.16$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.93 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 595.77$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.8 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 587$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.5 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 62c | 487.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.74 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 236.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.71 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed KT Wiz | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…3941backed KT Wiz | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked KT Wiz | 12c | 189.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked KT Wiz | 31c | 124.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed KT Wiz | 49c | 113$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Doosan Bears | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc5…d49fbacked KT Wiz | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed KT Wiz | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked KT Wiz | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 84.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked KT Wiz | 49c | 81.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 79.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Doosan Bears | 65c | 78.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Doosan Bears | 68c | 60.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 56.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed KT Wiz | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed KT Wiz | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 46.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 39.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Doosan Bears | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 26.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 23.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Doosan Bears | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Doosan Bears | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.