Fifa International · resolved market
Will Sierra Leone win on 2026-06-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37e030ec80ccca74c022b120ce01ab49b957dbbad2c8fcc6cf8df51de9292a87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 51c | 5,100$2,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.99 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 47c | 3,866$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.46 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 75c | 3,400$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.22 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 73c | 3,045$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.23 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 48c | 2,282$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.4 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 55c | 1,792$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.75 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 51c | 1,638$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.26 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 46c | 1,065$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.53 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked No | 16c | 840$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.8 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 15c | 826.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.07 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 10c | 668.05$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 39c | 666.67$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.67 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked No | 55c | 557.11$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.41 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 49c | 544.48$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.84 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 65c | 414.28$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.57 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 38c | 398$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.76 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…2fa1backed Yes | 46c | 383.26$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 43c | 327.91$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.91 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed No | 29c | 289$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.13 | 271 | 45.8%124 W · 147 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 52c | 280.66$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.91 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked No | 51c | 254.86$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.98 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc5…d49fbacked No | 51c | 192.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Yes | 73c | 177.47$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…3e81backed Yes | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 46c | 150.17$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.47 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…e35ebacked Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc700…31a1backed Yes | 40c | 142$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…3456backed Yes | 46c | 141.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.48 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 45c | 139.24$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 45c | 128.89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.89 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 72c | 125.21$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 283 | 26.1%74 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed No | 26c | 92.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 78.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 42c | 78.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…c03dbacked No | 52c | 67.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 45c | 66.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 256 | 41%105 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 54c | 54.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 45c | 50.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc919…d1ddbacked Yes | 48c | 35.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…f719backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0236…4280backed Yes | 50c | 34.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf52…d3c9backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 45c | 31.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b4…a38abacked Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8687…1db0backed Yes | 46c | 29.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sierra Leone win on 2026-06-06?this page
- Will Liberia win on 2026-06-06?No won
- Will Sierra Leone vs. Liberia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.