Fifa International · resolved market
Will Sierra Leone vs. Liberia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f342186e3580e91600973d713497b6d65e16fc1760d48f1ae68f804a4666133
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 76c | 3,789$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.33 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 61c | 1,887$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.69 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 16c | 1,226$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.37 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 973.57$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.93 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 34c | 547$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.6 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 50c | 299$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.46 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 50c | 244$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.91 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 42c | 238.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 196.02$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…3e81backed Yes | 42c | 168.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Yes | 15c | 160.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 40c | 133.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 15c | 113.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d07…e75dbacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 74c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 36.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 59c | 36.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 32.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5b…5253backed Yes | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 138 | 65.2%90 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f96backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 22.4%22 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sierra Leone vs. Liberia end in a draw?this page
- Will Liberia win on 2026-06-06?No won
- Will Sierra Leone win on 2026-06-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.