TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Luxembourg win on 2026-06-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,713
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,593

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,713 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes49c14,107$6,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,196.832,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No43c6,504$2,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,794.811,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No54c6,255$3,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,354.363,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked No56c4,704$2,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,634.4311561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes56c3,898$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.957846.2%36 W · 42 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c3,534$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.174,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No37c2,797$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.242541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No55c2,185$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.113,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes73c2,055$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.7921048.6%102 W · 108 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No55c1,854$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.7129232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda2b…85febacked Yes40c1,565$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.936516.9%11 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-49.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes61c1,148$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.367229.2%21 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+62.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes45c1,125$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.452,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No36c1,111$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.063935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Yes73c1,060$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2838949.4%44 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes44c993.74$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.193542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cc5…d49fbacked Yes39c856.87$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c73…68e7backed Yes64c800$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2882487.5%21 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No25c702.64$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.1674034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No42c628.41$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.041,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe81b…f35abacked Yes55c606.85$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.8540145.4%182 W · 219 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No26c555.15$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.072,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No49c541.69$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.822731.7%72 W · 155 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No10c506.85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4117513.7%24 W · 151 L-19.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes15c500$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42523729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No38c452.91$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.2727538.5%106 W · 169 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes45c442.84$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.845749.1%28 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Yes66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1364440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes75c397.52$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3121166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes43c396$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.661,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes35c347.8$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.073354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+35.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12322846.5%106 W · 122 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No51c299.98$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9924732.4%80 W · 167 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No38c270$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.74,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes15c259.97$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.971,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No5c258$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.491,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Yes15c240$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20423732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes62c231.13$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.834,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No27c223.76$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9619939.7%79 W · 120 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2239648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746743.3%29 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac3…1347backed Yes15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17014223.9%34 W · 108 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed No21c199.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9914445.8%66 W · 78 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b87…1276backed Yes46c190.15$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.68862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70b…1668backed Yes70c181.99$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.154341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0eb…2c46backed Yes17c172.46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.568021.3%17 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes60c167$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.817747.5%84 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Yes14c165.66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6719120.9%40 W · 151 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No31c164.74$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0733120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No40c163.04$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7463151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes71c141.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7711346%52 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes14c140.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.183,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes39c140$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.21,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Yes15c109.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4916937.3%63 W · 106 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8182…b13cbacked Yes46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.711761.5%72 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No47c106.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7690840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes45c102.22$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2225641%105 W · 151 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Yes80c100.63$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6316753.9%90 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked Yes16c100$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8418038.3%69 W · 111 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424922.4%11 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Yes45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5524533.9%83 W · 162 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Yes45c97.29$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5139752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc919…d1ddbacked No43c96.12$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.257538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked No50c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.550450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Yes45c83.6$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9823036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x824c…e309backed Yes78c83.33$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.334748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x946b…7277backed Yes17c81.41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.576518.5%12 W · 53 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No49c79.34$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.937644.9%169 W · 207 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa482…a3bbbacked Yes56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.43666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+45.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f1…f937backed Yes38c65.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes46c63.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.46826.5%18 W · 50 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x358c…7042backed Yes40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes16c62$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.962,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Yes58c60.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3423658.1%137 W · 99 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked No56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.614049.3%69 W · 71 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes67c59.04$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4845248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Yes56c57.14$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1415543.9%68 W · 87 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9741…1a8fbacked Yes70c53.09$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.09366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Yes44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e6e…eac8backed Yes49c49.04$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes76c47.15$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1626534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes43c46.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4911552.2%60 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4567…0fd6backed Yes54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No34c44.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.287055.7%39 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde06…9ef0backed No56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed No35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513242.4%56 W · 76 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes74c39.56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3745947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked No65c37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0515059.3%89 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb2…70c6backed Yes62c33.81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa9…9945backed No55c30.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.856738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Yes67c29.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9122746.3%105 W · 122 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes49c27.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.151,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc08c…4b12backed No56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157838.5%30 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cea…ffd2backed No56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158451.2%43 W · 41 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed No56c26.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7218764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1928…1171backed Yes72c26.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.291485.7%12 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick75cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44c…48a4backed No69c23.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.061936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-47.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.219856.1%111 W · 87 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab8…bb2bbacked Yes63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes61c19.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.722,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.