MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x111e499fef1b4f509b50e5dc5ce613e14f7e47cdf5cfaea3394cfd4ef904cfea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $316,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $322,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 50c | 70,873$35,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,445.3 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 53,430$26,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,511.65 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Under | 52c | 31,703$16,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,217.33 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Under | 49c | 16,000$7,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,210 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 14,823$7,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,387.22 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 49c | 14,105$6,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,911.38 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 52c | 9,105$4,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,352.87 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under | 50c | 7,998$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,998.95 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…c6b0backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Over | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Over | 55c | 4,423$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.79 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 51c | 3,974$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.24 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 50c | 3,824$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.16 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 3,267$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.81 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 52c | 3,031$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.01 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 50c | 3,006$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.69 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 2,557$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.59 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 39c | 2,363$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.36 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 2,234$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.09 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 2,143$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.18 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 50c | 1,742$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.93 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 48c | 1,709$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.2 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Over | 10c | 1,513$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.34 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 48c | 1,254$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Over | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…f03dbacked Over | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 50c | 1,059$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.5 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 1,039$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.04 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.05 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…286dbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…26cebacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…bf72backed Over | 51c | 974.47$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 44c | 937.82$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.23 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Under | 52c | 932.69$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.69 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 50c | 808$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Over | 53c | 790.43$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.12 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 52c | 674$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.52 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 50c | 660$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…ae0ebacked Over | 69c | 604.57$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.7 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Over | 51c | 573.4$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.43 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 23c | 569.69$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.03 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 50c | 563.63$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.55 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Under | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over | 50c | 490.19$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.1 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 455.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.29 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 48c | 406.19$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.97 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Over | 51c | 340.56$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.2 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 52c | 240$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Under | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 53c | 216.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Over | 63c | 199.95$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.97 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd9…be42backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 180.23$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Over | 49c | 176.92$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 50c | 172.6$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 50c | 159.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Under | 51c | 156.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 45c | 150.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 51c | 148$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 42c | 147.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 134.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 133.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 53c | 114.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Over | 46c | 108.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 25c | 103.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Over | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5this page
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-5.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis CardinalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.