Tennis · resolved market
Libema Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Niels Visker
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe891ec679292fc2eb6640f59849e1a6d2032f874a817a99a5315370dae708baf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Niels Viskerof Mackenzie McDonald, Niels Visker
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Niels Visker | 18c | 4,458$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,658.42 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Niels Visker | 68c | 1,481$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.07 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Niels Visker | 20c | 926.45$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.45 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Niels Visker | 32c | 838$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.15 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Mackenzie McDonald | 58c | 667.97$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.72 | 248 | 41.5%103 W · 145 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mackenzie McDonald | 39c | 518.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Niels Visker | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Mackenzie McDonald | 12c | 400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 197 | 40.6%80 W · 117 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Niels Visker | 45c | 356.77$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.8 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Niels Visker | 23c | 337.92$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.89 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Mackenzie McDonald | 56c | 284.56$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.37 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Niels Visker | 42c | 238.35$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Niels Visker | 43c | 208.07$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.07 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Niels Visker | 33c | 199.38$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.38 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 19c | 194.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Niels Visker | 34c | 177.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.73 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a3…ad8cbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 24c | 167.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Niels Visker | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Mackenzie McDonald | 60c | 166.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 283 | 48.1%136 W · 147 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Mackenzie McDonald | 61c | 164.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c5…17e8backed Mackenzie McDonald | 57c | 160.07$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.64 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Niels Visker | 13c | 157.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.79 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…5d32backed Niels Visker | 77c | 155.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Niels Visker | 23c | 129.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.31 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Niels Visker | 16c | 126$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Niels Visker | 11c | 118.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.38 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Niels Visker | 16c | 115.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.12 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Niels Visker | 43c | 109.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…0b66backed Mackenzie McDonald | 58c | 103.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 222 | 62.6%139 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Niels Visker | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.58 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +14.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9c…f77dbacked Niels Visker | 21c | 92.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 17c | 90.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 58c | 85.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…c119backed Mackenzie McDonald | 27c | 74.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Mackenzie McDonald | 64c | 73.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Niels Visker | 61c | 72.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Niels Visker | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Niels Visker | 26c | 53.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3284…b930backed Niels Visker | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb772…ed49backed Niels Visker | 42c | 45.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda45…a2c6backed Mackenzie McDonald | 59c | 39.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Mackenzie McDonald | 57c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Niels Visker | 53c | 31.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Niels Visker | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 283 | 43.8%124 W · 159 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3834…d360backed Mackenzie McDonald | 59c | 29.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Mackenzie McDonald | 72c | 27.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Mackenzie McDonald | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Niels Visker | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Niels Visker | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…0a8cbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 50c | 24.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 464 | 40.5%188 W · 276 L | -36.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Mackenzie McDonald | 77c | 20.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…535abacked Mackenzie McDonald | 60c | 19.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 82 | 69.5%57 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.