Tennis · resolved market
Dubrovnik: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Sara Sorribes Tormo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0230f34c9a31bd693d2470392088d2b77374e83e9bb671c90bb6c23fc299c4da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sara Sorribes Tormoof Sarah Rakotomanga, Sara Sorribes Tormo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,586 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 27c | 3,710$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.5 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 31c | 1,046$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.18 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 9c | 1,040$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 33c | 1,036$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.28 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 2c | 940.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 9c | 877.78$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 11c | 640.58$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sara Sorribes Tormo | 74c | 577$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Sara Sorribes Tormo | 69c | 577$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.93 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Sara Sorribes Tormo | 67c | 540.14$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.25 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b4…0f65backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 6c | 468$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 23c | 438.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 6c | 399.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 6c | 299.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 5c | 291$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 103 | 17.5%18 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 13c | 251.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 10c | 233.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…b575backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 7c | 211.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 16c | 198.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 31c | 181.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sara Sorribes Tormo | 70c | 176.74$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Sara Sorribes Tormo | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Sara Sorribes Tormo | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…e855backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 15c | 129.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…e226backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 10c | 103.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc52d…4eb4backed Sara Sorribes Tormo | 67c | 95.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 15c | 94.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…06eabacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 13c | 93.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Sara Sorribes Tormo | 73c | 92.92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…80a7backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 27c | 84.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -82%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 16c | 75.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Sara Sorribes Tormo | 70c | 62.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 28c | 50.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Sara Sorribes Tormo | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 287 | 64.1%184 W · 103 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sara Sorribes Tormo | 68c | 29.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817c…fb78backed Sara Sorribes Tormo | 69c | 21.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.