Tennis · resolved market
Phoenix: James Duckworth vs Jan-Lennard Struff
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd02d4bf0300866804b0cddbb0d95dcf2e4d53ecf4a60cd7f010ffa7cfc480b20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- James Duckworthof James Duckworth, Jan-Lennard Struff
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,667 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jan-Lennard Struff | 46c | 2,438$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.8 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jan-Lennard Struff | 59c | 1,798$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.76 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed James Duckworth | 31c | 1,375$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.15 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Jan-Lennard Struff | 63c | 999.98$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 926 | 55.9%518 W · 408 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked James Duckworth | 50c | 982.53$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.55 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Jan-Lennard Struff | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 262 | 54.6%143 W · 119 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked James Duckworth | 36c | 912.47$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.98 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Jan-Lennard Struff | 46c | 711.71$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.65 | 388 | 31.4%122 W · 266 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…6af2backed James Duckworth | 39c | 700$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 128 | 35.2%45 W · 83 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked James Duckworth | 40c | 690$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked James Duckworth | 45c | 667.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.59 | 975 | 40.1%391 W · 584 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed James Duckworth | 36c | 422.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.99 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Jan-Lennard Struff | 64c | 368.43$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.34 | 1,965 | 46.4%911 W · 1,054 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked James Duckworth | 40c | 317.82$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.15 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…c3e1backed James Duckworth | 40c | 288.34$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Jan-Lennard Struff | 63c | 287.24$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.91 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed James Duckworth | 37c | 272.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.54 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked James Duckworth | 39c | 257.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.49 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed James Duckworth | 36c | 243.74$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.19 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jan-Lennard Struff | 59c | 221.4$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.38 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Jan-Lennard Struff | 62c | 210.76$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.74 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked James Duckworth | 20c | 207.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.16 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed James Duckworth | 36c | 196.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked James Duckworth | 41c | 188.57$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…04a2backed Jan-Lennard Struff | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Jan-Lennard Struff | 62c | 159.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Jan-Lennard Struff | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jan-Lennard Struff | 26c | 152.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Jan-Lennard Struff | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,056 | 59.5%1,224 W · 832 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed James Duckworth | 37c | 135.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked James Duckworth | 39c | 124.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.07 | 2,754 | 53.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L | +71.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed James Duckworth | 42c | 123.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca4…e4e7backed Jan-Lennard Struff | 65c | 122.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed James Duckworth | 31c | 116$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89f…c1e7backed Jan-Lennard Struff | 17c | 106.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed James Duckworth | 34c | 104.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Jan-Lennard Struff | 64c | 102.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Jan-Lennard Struff | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed James Duckworth | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Jan-Lennard Struff | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Jan-Lennard Struff | 41c | 84.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Jan-Lennard Struff | 61c | 82.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Jan-Lennard Struff | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked James Duckworth | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Jan-Lennard Struff | 66c | 61.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8612…6a0abacked James Duckworth | 45c | 59.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Jan-Lennard Struff | 64c | 59.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed James Duckworth | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 2,332 | 46.6%1,087 W · 1,245 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Jan-Lennard Struff | 64c | 50.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 964 | 44.2%426 W · 538 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked James Duckworth | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed James Duckworth | 35c | 49.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 1,828 | 53.1%971 W · 857 L | -44.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed James Duckworth | 34c | 39.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x35b4…0f65backed James Duckworth | 37c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3d…f902backed Jan-Lennard Struff | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Jan-Lennard Struff | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…fa17backed Jan-Lennard Struff | 66c | 30.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 70%105 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed James Duckworth | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed James Duckworth | 37c | 27.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed James Duckworth | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8161…e08ebacked Jan-Lennard Struff | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161f…d3f4backed Jan-Lennard Struff | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Jan-Lennard Struff | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 591 | 66.7%394 W · 197 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Jan-Lennard Struff | 61c | 17.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Jan-Lennard Struff | 64c | 15.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Jan-Lennard Struff | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…6634backed Jan-Lennard Struff | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked James Duckworth | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.