Tennis · resolved market
Dublin: Jurij Rodionov vs Yi Zhou
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e62be413457f9331b1a2bd057ab9f11930b895c68bb6a675bbd014961090e46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jurij Rodionovof Jurij Rodionov, Yi Zhou
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yi Zhou | 21c | 1,668$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.53 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x35b4…0f65backed Yi Zhou | 12c | 1,032$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.63 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yi Zhou | 2c | 805.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 196 | 26%51 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yi Zhou | 18c | 451.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 464 | 35.3%164 W · 300 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Jurij Rodionov | 77c | 382.99$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yi Zhou | 19c | 195$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Yi Zhou | 14c | 185.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Yi Zhou | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Yi Zhou | 26c | 120.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Jurij Rodionov | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Yi Zhou | 29c | 84.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Jurij Rodionov | 71c | 82.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Yi Zhou | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…920bbacked Jurij Rodionov | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -7.1wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -26%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Yi Zhou | 29c | 58.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Jurij Rodionov | 70c | 57.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…7703backed Yi Zhou | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 23cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yi Zhou | 27c | 47.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Jurij Rodionov | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 232 | 72.8%169 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Jurij Rodionov | 71c | 40.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…fc59backed Yi Zhou | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 132 | 31.1%41 W · 91 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Jurij Rodionov | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…0f76backed Jurij Rodionov | 77c | 38.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8318…34a6backed Jurij Rodionov | 73c | 33.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -30.3wins | -0.30per pick | 62cpaid | -51%equal weight | 23-0.24 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.