TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x326e…c7b9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Movies, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+124.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$35.72
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$164
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.76
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.09
Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+59.3%+$27.18
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+244.8%+$32.66
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$26.45
Will Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+1,328.6%+$182.28
Will Douglas Aibel & Nina Gold (Jay Kelly) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$24.36
Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$34.8
Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$42.34
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+425.1%+$266.34
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.62
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.67
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.24
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$27.3
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.08
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$32.45
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+148.8%+$27.51
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.22
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$137.17
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+275.9%+$182.03
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$249.2
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71.4
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+31.6%+$142.56
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.3
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90.29
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25.25
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+53.8%+$16.1
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.32
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+63.9%+$53.82
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+39.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.04
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$393.79
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.25 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+257.1%+$327.6
GPT ads by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+244.8%+$140.58
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$158.47
Google Gemini Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+25%+$2.6
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.98
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+257.1%+$62.64
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13.68
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+37%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$82.11
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+49.3%+$108.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Miami Florida make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+525%+$68.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+471.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+471.3%+$78.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+163.2%+$22.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$338.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Again" 10+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+58.7%+$24.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$180.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+37%+$35.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+35.1%+$79.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$125.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Falcons qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Odds of US x Venezuela Military Engagement in 2025 Under 40% by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$31.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.