TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,518
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,068

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,518 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7197…14c8backed Over53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6503756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under46c3,936$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,110.477353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2379…bf16backed Over50c2,789$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.31662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+38.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c1,720$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.384,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a43…1405backed Under56c1,675$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.71771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1184…1b67backed Over31c1,662$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb83e…10fcbacked Over32c1,555$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over60c1,254$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.1790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5383…88f0backed Over34c1,106$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae0…4590backed Over32c1,038$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x523d…cc1dbacked Under68c1,018$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb593…28eabacked Under61c1,005$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-49.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf58d…a617backed Over31c975$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.2530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c2e…e025backed Under62c947$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f5…d7aabacked Over32c946$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a9…fee3backed Over32c928$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under61c925.83$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.2983939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaffd…b072backed Over33c909$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over56c893.48$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under47c876.79$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46722552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f8…6c22backed Under68c844$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5322…95e1backed Under68c822$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over50c814$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40713824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8132…a491backed Over32c804$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…7523backed Over32c802$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over44c788$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.948433.3%28 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ece…35e8backed Under68c780$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3e…0959backed Under46c773$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…fc69backed Over32c767$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd44…1837backed Over32c762$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa78e…74b0backed Over31c757$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Under69c753$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3de…5339backed Under68c740$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.8366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5f…d395backed Under68c729$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c9…bee7backed Over32c716$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf13d…9896backed Under47c715$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3506…4815backed Over31c713$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.03333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc94…efd5backed Over31c686$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755e…7b04backed Over31c678$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ab…d0a0backed Over55c675$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f5c…91bfbacked Over31c674$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.94333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee9e…efb7backed Over31c665$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa347…2a40backed Under69c665$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9bd…4d4cbacked Under69c658$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a7…afb5backed Under68c630$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd07…0058backed Over32c619$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda64…9bc5backed Under69c607$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x968f…a539backed Under46c601$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.543100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+60.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under70c594.01$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.012958.6%17 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick73cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7289…4bffbacked Over31c574$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.94333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68ba…0e6abacked Under68c563$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe07c…1307backed Over53c551$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2756…42efbacked Over32c549$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.68425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-66.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x427e…5ab4backed Over32c548$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf907…e7dbbacked Under69c524$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb29…19c8backed Under68c521$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39b4…3258backed Under45c521$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bf8…c7afbacked Under67c518$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd907…f15fbacked Under69c507$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdce0…7260backed Under68c502$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2353565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xca67…703cbacked Over54c498$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66a7…6569backed Over32c485$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a79…1ccbbacked Over32c485$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa938…a1ffbacked Under69c462$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.223100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0666…9fa3backed Under68c453$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf888…1c04backed Under69c451$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…115ebacked Under68c446$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over34c444.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d04…131dbacked Under69c438$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb132…6943backed Over31c438$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dfd…946bbacked Under46c437$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83be…6f94backed Over31c436$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…e065backed Under68c435$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7086…f376backed Under69c431$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7321…1812backed Over32c428$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x381c…dae1backed Under68c406$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1294…9151backed Under68c383$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd8…757abacked Over32c382$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe584…36b2backed Under68c382$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fcc…8ef0backed Under68c382$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbe…f1d5backed Over56c380$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x987e…990dbacked Under68c378$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0241…162abacked Under69c374$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc3c…d42ebacked Over31c374$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.94728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-60.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d38…e898backed Under67c365$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16a0…72f1backed Under68c365$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d3…53dcbacked Under69c364$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b64…bd0ebacked Under69c364$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x647e…88c8backed Over31c364$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb00b…fbcabacked Under68c343$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x367b…48dabacked Over32c338$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x326e…c7b9backed Under67c330$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb18…2372backed Under69c329$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b45…836ebacked Over31c329$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58fe…a8c5backed Under68c326$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7270…add3backed Over33c322$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2640%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88f1…8e46backed Under68c321$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.