La Liga · resolved market
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f6813c0040b13ad81b89c800c4f18982489d86fd2b91907f5da9c6e6f519e61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 44c | 1,043$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.31 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…3258backed Yes | 35c | 1,041$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 56c | 955.87$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.73 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 27c | 796.36$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.83 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1598backed No | 66c | 791$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…f2bcbacked Yes | 34c | 778$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…6b65backed No | 65c | 737$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed No | 47c | 702.67$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.42 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 16c | 699.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b3…55cfbacked No | 66c | 699$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a92…d2e9backed Yes | 34c | 683$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9818…7cd3backed Yes | 34c | 656$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…88c8backed Yes | 38c | 646$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4805backed No | 62c | 645$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…6c69backed No | 66c | 442$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…26e0backed No | 66c | 441$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…00acbacked No | 66c | 435$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…ca53backed Yes | 34c | 417$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…4d9abacked No | 66c | 388$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…1b67backed Yes | 34c | 381$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…8c30backed Yes | 34c | 378$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…0176backed No | 66c | 368$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 47c | 288$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.08 | 849 | 39.7%337 W · 512 L | -21.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb890…a592backed Yes | 38c | 236$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29e2…6dc5backed No | 65c | 220$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked No | 47c | 189.58$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +156.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 60c | 166.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 142.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked No | 62c | 135$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…35e8backed Yes | 34c | 115$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…a829backed No | 62c | 102$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c5…b4e1backed No | 66c | 96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5a…e6aebacked Yes | 34c | 95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…3b33backed No | 65c | 84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +140.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 39c | 75.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked Yes | 34c | 69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…293cbacked Yes | 34c | 63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes | 57c | 58.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 43c | 54.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed No | 77c | 50.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed No | 40c | 46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed No | 40c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…5789backed Yes | 61c | 40.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1877…78d7backed Yes | 71c | 35.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed No | 40c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked No | 63c | 31.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked No | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed No | 39c | 27.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Yes | 60c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x903d…84a1backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4390…e842backed Yes | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.