TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,716
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,716 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under48c8,397$4,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,377.731154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under18c4,053$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,309.654,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under40c3,675$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,215.983939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over63c3,000$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8875050%25 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa05…a764backed Under1c1,533$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.331553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+663.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x59ad…e59abacked Under24c1,152$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a43…1405backed Under63c1,128$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.09771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over79c899.96$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.9712875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b4b…1fb3backed Under48c820$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea5a…e6aebacked Under24c813$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.88520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6587…4f63backed Under48c789$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8507…7f61backed Over22c729$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6813…39e6backed Over22c695$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1294…9151backed Over26c669$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b92…7585backed Over52c656$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc0…fab9backed Over26c632$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…6741backed Over22c631$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over59c624$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.083154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f0d…1683backed Over22c582$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ae…57e8backed Under78c565$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-57.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf92a…9134backed Over22c543$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.46425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa647…d77dbacked Under78c524$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…115ebacked Over22c517$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over78c511.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over74c499.99$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9913070.8%92 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e5f…d395backed Under48c496$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x354c…b301backed Under78c491$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dd…5514backed Over55c477$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x036f…31a9backed Under74c474$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.244100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf614…c345backed Over76c470$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bef…1e38backed Under78c453$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c42…1616backed Over76c450$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over46c438.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x611f…1f84backed Under79c426$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.46450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b1…7754backed Over52c417$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d6…bca9backed Under74c401$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb555…83e5backed Under48c394$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+290%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe3e1…1d2ebacked Over52c389$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over77c387.2$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe36c…a6f0backed Over52c381$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over45c377.78$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17037829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ef…f5cebacked Under45c361$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc2…297bbacked Over26c351$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdce0…7260backed Under48c348$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over46c342.78$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.784358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc3c…d42ebacked Over76c342$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.92728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-60.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over78c320.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502075%15 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over44c315.25$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.711250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa756…b167backed Over21c301$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16a0…72f1backed Over52c295$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.4560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe539…5345backed Under74c285$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1502…be53backed Under78c273$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.06366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over37c270$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.92045%9 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ef…095ebacked Under74c268$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd622…defcbacked Under78c267$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8d5…1caebacked Over22c267$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd29f…26b4backed Under78c258$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c5…dcb1backed Under78c255$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under25c253.63$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.258433.3%28 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under21c250$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c07…956bbacked Over21c249$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x636a…09aabacked Over52c247$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over75c245.4$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.0521957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6317…e864backed Under73c244$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1184…1b67backed Over27c244$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.88633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Over10c233.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.318143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9de5…b2f4backed Over76c232$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under20c231.39$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.1225248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaefa…f98ebacked Over52c229$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6481…b1bfbacked Over66c228.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508170.4%57 W · 24 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Over57c225.64$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.822755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ba8…697ebacked Under46c218.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.24580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+107.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008236.6%30 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0278…00e6backed Over52c217$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec92…1214backed Over55c215$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.25540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Over37c209.79$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.322965.5%19 W · 10 L+7.1wins+0.24per pick41cpaid+65.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over49c206$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9415451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1dfd…946bbacked Under78c205$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253f…e642backed Under78c204$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+130.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under75c200.49$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.494562.2%28 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under19c200$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16231745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10242158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd5e9…cb06backed Over61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6339…141ebacked Under27c199.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under57c194.83$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.833447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Under40c189.94$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.325440.7%22 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5661…ef17backed Over52c184$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over74c180$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.211636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc362…7f4fbacked Under48c176$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1db2…ebc2backed Under74c158$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over71c155$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6518656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe87e…4f70backed Under78c145$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over48c141.22$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0417648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2756…42efbacked Over76c140$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-66.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.