TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,015
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,015 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c18,585$11,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,067.214,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over38c17,227$6,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,554.9490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over38c3,750$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4251,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under62c2,003$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.164046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Under62c1,987$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.235040%20 W · 30 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x367b…48dabacked Over25c1,985$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03a3…fdf4backed Over24c1,915$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a5a…779cbacked Over24c1,573$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3734…01a3backed Over25c1,409$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under62c1,373$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.8825248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over38c1,371$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.9828055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2950…ffeabacked Under76c1,330$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd22a…ac22backed Over32c1,121$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2756…42efbacked Under76c1,103$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.89425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-66.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6897…63b6backed Over25c1,083$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x245c…75e7backed Under76c1,051$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f52…a35abacked Under76c1,045$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12ef…f5cebacked Under68c1,031$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…bd71backed Under75c1,015$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b45…836ebacked Over24c1,004$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7544…0caebacked Over24c1,003$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe36c…a6f0backed Under76c989$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x863b…7c6fbacked Over24c978$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4628…ee62backed Over25c905$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb82b…dd5fbacked Over25c881$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b72…cd8ebacked Under75c852$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under61c836.45$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.227424.3%18 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6546…c454backed Under75c823$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Under62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.456672.7%48 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54af…415ebacked Over24c799$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f4…d6debacked Over24c790$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca87…3701backed Over24c788$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ad5…6f41backed Under76c758$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…f8a1backed Over25c757$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a3a…ca4cbacked Over24c755$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb50c…8c30backed Under76c751$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38d6…e50fbacked Under75c749$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa44b…eb27backed Under75c734$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over27c729.99$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19913824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7289…4bffbacked Over25c722$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.5333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6f…deaebacked Under76c695$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec9…3e46backed Under75c687$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc04c…44ffbacked Under76c679$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+161.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9f…c0d4backed Over24c676$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb25…5b6bbacked Under75c670$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88f1…8e46backed Under75c669$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1b7…d913backed Over25c664$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95cc…f215backed Under75c659$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf977…1690backed Under75c653$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0257…6beabacked Over24c647$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb73e…975ebacked Over25c637$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7a9…fee3backed Under76c632$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26ad…990ebacked Under76c630$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc911…fa2bbacked Under76c627$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x628e…4580backed Over25c627$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef3c…ca4fbacked Under75c623$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5829…e46bbacked Over24c602$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Over38c600$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2289923.2%23 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66f2…2badbacked Over24c597$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b32…c8a9backed Over24c588$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe794…321cbacked Under76c587$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c42…1616backed Over24c578$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9d9…bacbbacked Under75c576$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1442100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbbe…f1d5backed Under76c576$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7485…b217backed Under75c570$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab6d…92b3backed Under76c569$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa938…a1ffbacked Under76c548$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.523100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Under73c547.54$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.549348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba6f…8cc1backed Over29c540$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f0f…98e8backed Under76c535$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8697…4165backed Over24c525$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe590…87bfbacked Under75c509$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9778…1d7bbacked Over24c505$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce25…4e7dbacked Over24c497$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2860%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3acc…973dbacked Under76c497$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+138.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6a4…aa57backed Under76c483$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcde9…d705backed Over25c472$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11840%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c86…b75ebacked Under75c465$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c824backed Under76c464$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab21…4b87backed Under75c458$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.53100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7635…9ae0backed Over24c451$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x997f…b3c2backed Under76c450$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ee…9238backed Over24c450$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…588ebacked Over25c447$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad90…9090backed Over25c443$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.03520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-71.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…a320backed Under76c442$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d4d…b46ebacked Under76c432$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fbf…7328backed Over25c419$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…0da3backed Under75c414$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb83e…10fcbacked Over24c407$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99ab…edc1backed Over25c407$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e2…7babbacked Under75c401$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb214…a6aabacked Under75c399$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1100…815ebacked Over25c395$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…0d60backed Under75c395$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d48…d6f1backed Over25c393$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…41f6backed Under75c393$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf06d…db77backed Over24c389$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa27…d1d3backed Over24c381$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe70…e8e9backed Over25c381$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.