TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Levante UDof Villarreal CF, Levante UD
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,438
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,246

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,438 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cec…1f74backed Villarreal CF16c3,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c1…704bbacked Villarreal CF16c1,143$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick22cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefc0…4942backed Villarreal CF17c1,055$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf58d…a617backed Villarreal CF22c898$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35cb…93adbacked Villarreal CF10c873$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ff1…85cdbacked Villarreal CF17c871$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Levante UD67c775.42$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.14,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b6…8b4cbacked Villarreal CF32c750$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2407030%21 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16a0…72f1backed Levante UD78c706$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.32560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce25…4e7dbacked Villarreal CF16c698$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6860%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Levante UD68c690$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.821957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b74…93f7backed Villarreal CF22c672$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88c4…758bbacked Villarreal CF16c663$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9859…0176backed Villarreal CF27c643$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab92…15ddbacked Levante UD78c640$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Villarreal CF32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1929923.2%23 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef37…f2bcbacked Levante UD73c592$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad90…9090backed Villarreal CF16c581$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.96520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-71.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb25…5b6bbacked Villarreal CF27c577.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadbd…93f9backed Levante UD78c568$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe590…87bfbacked Levante UD78c564$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…1214backed Levante UD73c554$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.58540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c6c…26e0backed Villarreal CF17c534$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4901…8832backed Villarreal CF15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59ad…e59abacked Villarreal CF16c492$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6f…6487backed Villarreal CF22c485$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…9a60backed Villarreal CF16c455$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5663…99aebacked Villarreal CF16c409$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8ae…bb88backed Villarreal CF22c386$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x246f…0ab2backed Villarreal CF22c380$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf825…2e4abacked Levante UD73c378$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d5…2e11backed Levante UD73c361.7$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.664100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+63.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb023…6d90backed Villarreal CF16c357$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1294…9151backed Villarreal CF16c342$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x465c…6e53backed Villarreal CF27c339$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc70…50c0backed Levante UD73c326$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+82.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Levante UD49c325.39$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.958433.3%28 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Villarreal CF51c321.92$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.181435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d17…1e5ebacked Levante UD78c319$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dc2…297bbacked Villarreal CF16c319$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x090c…3c25backed Levante UD78c314$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ef…f5cebacked Villarreal CF27c313$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d04…131dbacked Villarreal CF27c301$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60f4…d6debacked Villarreal CF17c241$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e9e…bd49backed Villarreal CF16c208$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Levante UD66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6831745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed7…b0a5backed Villarreal CF16c196$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Levante UD67c190$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.71855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9778…1d7bbacked Levante UD78c181$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2950…ffeabacked Levante UD73c158$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb1…c4e8backed Villarreal CF27c146$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf888…1c04backed Villarreal CF16c145$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x506a…1b43backed Levante UD73c142$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+72.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Villarreal CF34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011427.2%31 W · 83 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Villarreal CF25c117.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4119130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02f8…6c22backed Villarreal CF22c116$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5565…9184backed Villarreal CF22c101$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c51…a829backed Villarreal CF17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6b8…3539backed Levante UD68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa3f…6e13backed Villarreal CF17c93$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Levante UD67c86$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.382638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf100…2fcabacked Villarreal CF27c82$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9941…7fd9backed Levante UD78c68$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f02…c594backed Villarreal CF32c61.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Levante UD68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.219152.4%100 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Villarreal CF32c54.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.593135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Levante UD66c53.71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.423452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Levante UD72c53.7$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0442851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Villarreal CF33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6fa4…b6a4backed Villarreal CF33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Villarreal CF32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169637.5%36 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Villarreal CF33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+42.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Villarreal CF35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510040%40 W · 60 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x293f…5789backed Levante UD68c40.4$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.93862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e8…4facbacked Villarreal CF33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2949…76bcbacked Villarreal CF33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Levante UD67c39$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.871681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick63cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5351…a045backed Levante UD67c37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.211050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab2c…0ab7backed Villarreal CF33c37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.211050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Levante UD71c34.48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021151.7%109 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1877…78d7backed Levante UD73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+111.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa95d…6a82backed Levante UD73c33.04$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+179.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Levante UD65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.513052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Levante UD69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Levante UD65c18.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6111952.9%63 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Levante UD68c15.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0825248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.