World Politics · resolved market
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef904c695153f74bf0f66334e26617558474e2233b4b35670e862f3e958fb459
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 63c | 27,455$17,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,114.34 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 27c | 9,555$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,977.3 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed Yes | 26c | 8,096$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,005.8 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 44c | 5,107$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.06 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 54c | 4,614$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.9 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 56c | 3,843$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eda…75ddbacked No | 68c | 3,600$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +76%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 33c | 2,944$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.99 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 22c | 2,743$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.93 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca7…9567backed Yes | 9c | 2,466$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +174.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 2,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 42c | 2,231$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.02 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3f…a4fdbacked No | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes | 17c | 1,868$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.39 | 110 | 17.3%19 W · 91 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb659…c375backed Yes | 62c | 1,759$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 6c | 1,752$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.55 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…4b0abacked Yes | 2c | 1,516$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +261.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 42c | 1,345$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.38 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa03f…a7dabacked Yes | 41c | 1,100$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 46c | 1,012$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.42 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 3c | 999.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 63c | 999.56$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 31c | 978.29$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.04 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 51c | 909.48$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.83 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 69c | 901.05$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.16 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 42c | 900$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 59c | 856.11$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.32 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 66c | 819.54$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.38 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes | 28c | 800$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 64c | 785.78$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.09 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 41c | 757.08$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.91 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 8c | 723.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 38c | 714.55$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.84 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0330…eb8fbacked Yes | 56c | 691.54$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.35 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 58c | 657.93$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.65 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 47c | 596.56$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.24 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…0731backed No | 37c | 567.33$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.9 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd061…d5e4backed Yes | 32c | 543.33$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.3 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -61%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…901abacked Yes | 55c | 541.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 55c | 531.2$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 54c | 521.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.16 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 34c | 517.3$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.3 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 59c | 498.43$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.91 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 47c | 497.03$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.82 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…0064backed Yes | 56c | 450.92$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.57 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b6…c5c5backed Yes | 58c | 431.75$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd666…d9d6backed Yes | 49c | 430$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 12c | 428.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.17 | 142 | 5.6%8 W · 134 L | -27.2wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 68c | 419.67$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.03 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed No | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 50c | 391.29$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.64 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…1d83backed Yes | 14c | 354.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.06 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc708…ac93backed No | 67c | 322.92$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed Yes | 36c | 316.76$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.51 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed No | 43c | 302.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.13 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…6db8backed No | 70c | 299.02$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5117…49b3backed Yes | 34c | 293.16$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.29 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 42c | 277$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.89 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 22c | 276.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 58c | 268.05$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.74 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 39c | 261$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 13c | 255.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.8 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 79c | 253.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d32…32e1backed Yes | 29c | 252.38$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 72c | 250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -11.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 58c | 226.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…15ffbacked Yes | 12c | 220.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 49c | 213.1$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…90dfbacked Yes | 12c | 210$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.35 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 42c | 206.44$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 73c | 204.23$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.31 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959e…0315backed No | 60c | 200$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e6…fb8ebacked No | 68c | 197.83$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked No | 70c | 197$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 45c | 183.76$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 18c | 183.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.39 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…5e6abacked Yes | 33c | 180.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6049…4aa9backed Yes | 21c | 178.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06cd…e124backed No | 49c | 176$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed Yes | 45c | 173$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…5558backed Yes | 30c | 170$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…1f67backed Yes | 54c | 167.18$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Yes | 60c | 167.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…7577backed Yes | 50c | 162$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…c453backed Yes | 40c | 156.23$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.74 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a25…ab66backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 43c | 144.03$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 13c | 139.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.26per pick | 22cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…66fdbacked No | 60c | 139$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed No | 56c | 137$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9a…cc24backed Yes | 36c | 131.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Yes | 40c | 130$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 58c | 109.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 110 | 69.1%76 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…856ebacked Yes | 52c | 108.32$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea02…23d1backed Yes | 69c | 108.01$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +274.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Yes | 38c | 106.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…3bc8backed Yes | 10c | 104$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed No | 64c | 101$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%?this page
- Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by at least 3%?No won
- Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?No won
- Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 2% and 3%?No won
- Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by at least 3%?No won
- Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?No won
- Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 2% and 3%?No won
- Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.