AI · resolved market
Google Gemini Parlay
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe67879a36008b701024eb819715dea3c8be32dc236192498d79b6d4f20a93f3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7407…19bebacked No | 78c | 2,051$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.31 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…1272backed No | 70c | 1,894$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…e59abacked Yes | 27c | 1,702$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.84 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 19c | 1,570$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.45 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed Yes | 33c | 1,452$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.62 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed Yes | 25c | 1,392$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed Yes | 25c | 1,330$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.52 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…333fbacked No | 76c | 1,298$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 23c | 1,297$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…e68dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,277$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked No | 73c | 1,159$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes | 32c | 1,142$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed Yes | 31c | 1,085$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed Yes | 24c | 1,074$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…dc10backed No | 77c | 1,065$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,022$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…9bc5backed No | 74c | 1,013$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed Yes | 22c | 1,008$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.07 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed Yes | 18c | 985$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.11 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +5.5wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…d166backed No | 71c | 955$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e47…db27backed Yes | 25c | 947$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…eae0backed No | 74c | 919$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed No | 74c | 906$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…b842backed Yes | 27c | 903$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed No | 74c | 880.84$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.84 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…5f57backed Yes | 25c | 875$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.81 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67f2…6a72backed Yes | 26c | 874$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed No | 71c | 841$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5374…952abacked No | 77c | 832$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed No | 69c | 831$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.61 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dff…1f35backed Yes | 17c | 813.59$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.07 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…e46bbacked No | 74c | 812$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…76d5backed No | 72c | 805$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385f…3c30backed No | 77c | 790$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…7577backed Yes | 31c | 782$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…7154backed No | 77c | 775$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked Yes | 23c | 770$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…4018backed No | 71c | 765$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked Yes | 29c | 762$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed Yes | 26c | 759$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.77 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked No | 77c | 735$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed No | 79c | 730$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.9 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…f0abbacked Yes | 19c | 718$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…2cdbbacked Yes | 32c | 705$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes | 26c | 701$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…3274backed No | 70c | 699$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 12c | 689.92$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed Yes | 29c | 687$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed No | 74c | 673$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 18c | 669$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.42 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…12f8backed No | 74c | 660$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…dcb1backed No | 68c | 660$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…a35abacked Yes | 32c | 650$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +132.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…3497backed No | 73c | 645$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed Yes | 26c | 632$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…8085backed Yes | 23c | 619$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 41cpaid | +62%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked Yes | 26c | 617$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.42 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…0430backed No | 71c | 613$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0ec1backed Yes | 19c | 606$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e1…a5cdbacked Yes | 23c | 604$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…8211backed No | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…595cbacked Yes | 21c | 597$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.37 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a7a9backed Yes | 25c | 596$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…9767backed No | 73c | 595$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed No | 72c | 572$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…5adebacked No | 69c | 561$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed Yes | 26c | 551$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.26 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…7babbacked Yes | 26c | 549$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.74 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…a23bbacked No | 74c | 540$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed No | 76c | 524$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.14 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfda4…1058backed Yes | 28c | 522$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed No | 72c | 520$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed No | 68c | 516$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.71 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 26c | 513$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 28c | 511$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.08 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed Yes | 27c | 510$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed Yes | 25c | 508$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.18 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked No | 79c | 503$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…f15fbacked Yes | 26c | 503$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.42per pick | 57cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed No | 72c | 496$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.06 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed Yes | 28c | 495$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…3421backed No | 74c | 494$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.44 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd137…ceacbacked Yes | 26c | 487$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.62 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…2550backed Yes | 23c | 486$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5884…3191backed No | 68c | 476$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaf…4bd2backed Yes | 19c | 476$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af7…ce74backed Yes | 25c | 469.4$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…d9c1backed No | 72c | 465$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed Yes | 21c | 464$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…93d1backed Yes | 22c | 459.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed Yes | 18c | 458$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.44 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…4243backed Yes | 22c | 455$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked Yes | 24c | 452$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 22c | 450$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0acbbacked Yes | 19c | 450$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…ab94backed Yes | 19c | 445$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked No | 74c | 443$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed Yes | 20c | 439$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.63 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa400…ec34backed No | 74c | 437$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.62 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 30c | 436$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.